NFL – Week 3 Showdown (Monday) – CHI v WAS

The Showdown matchups haven’t provided much offense this season and Monday’s game between the Bears and Redskins doesn’t figure to provide many offensive fireworks either. So, I’d recommend giving into the trend and matchup and focusing primarily on using RBs and D/ST along with your top QB in Cash games and trying to get a little bit different (but not too different) in GPPs.

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Note: DVOA referenced in this article stands for Defense-adjusted Value Over Average which is a metric from FootballOutsiders.com.

Chicago Bears @ Washington Redskins

Team QB RB Right Slot Left TE D K Vegas
Chicago Bears 53 54 46 47 46 39 51 46 -5
Washington Redskins 47 36 40 48 35 59 39 36 41

King

  • David Montgomery – After limited work in the opener, the Bears unleashed Montgomery in Week 2 as he received 62% of the carries. The Bears are favored on the road and face a Redskins run defense that ranks 29th DVOA and has allowed 124 rushing yards to RBs (29th) through two weeks.

Cash Core

  • Mitch Trubisky – Trubisky and the Bears passing game has struggled so far this season but get a favorable matchup on Monday night against the Redskins which rank 28th DVOA against the pass and have allowed 291 passing yards and 3.0 TD passes per game in two games.
  • Bears D/ST – Case Keenum and the Redskins have taken good care of the ball in their first two games but will face a tough test against the Bears who average 3.5 sacks per game.
  • Chris Thompson – Thompson has 18 targets through two games and faces a Bears defense that has allowed 6.0 receptions and 46.5 yards per game to pass-catching RBs and he should be plenty involved in the Redskins game plan on Monday night.

GPP

I debated going with a contrarian stack of the Redskins offense, but I can’t bring myself to do it. So, instead, I’ll go with a “Bears passing game goes off” stack using Tarik Cohen as the King and adding in Trubisky and Allen Robinson even though he is going against Josh Norman. Bring it back on the Redskins side with pass-catchers Thompson and rookie Terry McLaurin.

Best Bet

I’m going to pass on this one

 

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