Tuesday features a 14-game night slate (minus an afternoon game at Coors Field) which includes a few different high-priced ace pitchers to choose from. As I was doing my research today, I found myself preferring pitchers throwing at home and ended up with all four of my selections pitching at their home parks this evening.
Ace
Max Scherzer (FD-$11,800 / DK-$12,900)
I tried to make a case to select Chris Sale over Scherzer tonight and it was close until I got to BvP. Scherzer has dominated Indians’ hitters allowing just a .209 wOBA with a 23.7% K-rate over 152 plate appearances, while Sale has had some trouble against the Royals allowing a .346 wOBA with a 21.8% K-rate over 312 plate appearances. Sale could be worth a flier in a GPP but I prefer Scherzer in Cash games.
Value
Kenta Maeda (FD-$8,800 / DK-$9,700)
Maeda has been solid all season and gets a favorable matchup tonight pitching at home as a big favorite over the Phillies. The Phillies rank near the middle of the pack in strikeout percentage at 21.4% but rank in the bottom three in wRC+ and wOBA against righties this season. Maeda is a solid Cash game option and potential GPP play.
John Lackey (FD-$8,700 / DK-$9,400)
Lackey should get a win tonight as a huge home favorite against the Angels and Jered Weaver. However, he doesn’t have much strikeout upside facing an Angels team that only strikes out 15.3% against righties which is by far the lowest in the league. Due to his limited strikeout upside, I would limit my exposure to only Cash game lineups.
Darkhorse
Hector Santiago (FD-$8,100 / DK-$8,000)
The newly acquire Twins’ pitcher will face an Astros’ offense that has struggled recently ranking dead last in wRC+, wOBA and ISO over the last 14 days. They have also struck out 26% of the time during that span and have the sixth highest strikeout rate (23.4%) against lefties this season. Santiago has also allowed just a .289 wOBA to Astros’ hitters in his career. Santiago is a good GPP option and potential Cash game option as a #2 SP on two-pitcher sites.
On the Hill – Results
Monday
Type | Pitcher | DK $ | DK Pts | Grade |
Ace | Jose Fernandez | 12800 | 18.70 | |
Value | Zach Davies | 8600 | 10.95 | |
Value | Michael Wacha | 6500 | 3.25 | |
Dark | Julio Urias | 6800 | 13.05 |
- Grades not compiled yet
Season
Type | A+ | A | B | C | D | F | Tot | DK Cost | DK Pts | DO Score |
Ace | 33 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 64 | $11,905 | 23.96 | 6.20 |
Value | 25 | 15 | 14 | 32 | 7 | 34 | 127 | $8,674 | 15.81 | 3.45 |
Dark | 22 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 68 | $6,642 | 16.04 | 4.59 |
- DK Cost is the average DraftKings cost per pitcher selected
- DK Pts is the average DraftKings points scored per pitcher selected
- DO Score is the Daily Overlay score for each type
Come back to DailyOverlay later today for the MLB Consensus list and some sample MLB lineups.
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