Hope everyone had a great weekend, spent some time with family, had some time to chill and relax and hopefully won some money in DFS.
We get back to the grind today as Monday provides a 9-game slate in the majors.
But before we get to today’s picks, let me just say, as a Rangers fan, I hate Andrew Cashner. The guy is the king of misdirection in baseball DFS. The Nats’ offense is usually where pitchers go to die, figuratively speaking, but no, Cashner held the Nats in check some how over the weekend AND the Rangers swept the Nats. Baseball is a funny sport sometimes…
Anyway, we have Strasburg, deGrom and Yu as the top aces on the board, but I can make an argument against all of them.
Strasburg faces a team that doesn’t strike out a lot and is priced very high, so I think he’s at least safe for cash games, but maybe doesn’t pay off his salary for tournaments.
deGrom has shown a decrease in velocity late, especially to lefty bats.
Yu also faces a team that doesn’t strike out a bunch and who never seems to lose, plus the Astros are one of the top offenses against RH bats.
It will be interesting to see where I land for pitching because I am not sold on anyone as of this writeup, so it’s bats only for me.
Hopefully you will arrive at the correct pitching options. You can get out Brad’s On the Hill article to help you out, he’s been doing pretty well with nailing down pitching options.
Anyway, let’s get to today’s picks!
Nelson Cruz – OF – Seattle Mariners – $5,100
Analysis: Oh this gif, so close to a World Series victory….but I digress. Here we have Cruz against a lefty, Aldaberto Mejia of the Twins. The Mariners are in a ballpark that favors RH bats. Mejia has been generous to RH bats this season, allowing a .367 wOBA, a 1.93 HR/9 rate with a .264 BABIP and a 5.29 xFIP. When a pitcher is giving up a lot of action to a handedness and the BABIP is lower than league average, oh man, I can’t stop drooling here.
Daniel Nava – OF – Philadelphia Phillies – $3,200
Analysis: There are lots of things pointing in Nava’s favor today. One, he’s facing his old team. Two, he’s facing Rick Porcello, who is allowing 44% hard contact, a .358 wOBA and a 1.64 HR/9 rate to lefties. Nava should be in the lineup tonight with Cesar Hernandez on the DL. On the season, Nava has a .412 wOBA, a .186 ISO and a 36% hard contact rate in limited action.
Wil Myers – 1B – San Diego Padres – $3,800
Analysis: I don’t care that Bronson Arroyo is facing the Padres, you will never convince me to roster the bastard. I am sure people will try to get you to do it considering the matchup, and yada, yada. Anyway, let me convince you of a couple of Padres today, one of which being mister Myers. His price and upside is way too cheap in this matchup. Myers is actually a reverse splits guy and mashes righties. In 2017, Myers leads his team in wOBA against RH pitching at .337 to go along with a .239 ISO and a 44% hard contact rate. As far as boy wonder Bronson is concerned, RH bats have a .383 wOBA, a 2.08 HR/9 rate and a 32% hard contact rate.
