Plenty to write about in a week where the experts really kicked it up a notch. There were a couple of interesting days last week with a game being cancelled due to a leaky roof and some shakeups at the trade deadline that made Thursday and Friday interesting roster construction days. A big five-day week is recapped below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
Monday (February 5th)
Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 3.53 (12th of 19)
Total Plays – 30
A+ – Bobby Portis, Andre Drummond, Nikola Jokic, Dwight Powell, Jrue Holiday
F – Bradley Beal, Nikola Mirotic, Robin Lopez, De’Aaron Fox, Donovan Mitchell, Myles Turner
Top Experts of the Day
#1) RG Lineup Builder (Score: 5.71) had a day of extremes with four “A+” grades and three failing ones. That, however, was good enough to top the other experts to start the week.
#2) Sportsline (Score: 5.50) scored “A” or better with half of their eight plays including three “A+” scores.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Sportsline (5.54 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Bam Adebayo (DailyRoto)
A+ – Royce O’Neale (Fantasy Alarm)
Tuesday (February 6th)
Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 6.97 (4th of 20)
Total Plays – 32
A+ – Nineteen of the 32 plays scored an “A+” grade.
F – Wayne Selden, Jr.
Top Experts of the Day
#1) Rotowire (Score: 8.56) absolutely went HAM on Tuesday. Of their nine plays, they picked up seven “A+” grades, an “A” and a “C” grade.
#2) RG 6-Pack (Score: 7.67) also had a great day. Beer hauled in four “A+” scores and two “B” grades.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
RG 6-Pack (6.03 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Jerami Grant (Fantasy Alarm)
Wednesday (February 7th)
Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 5.00 (9th of 20)
Total Plays – 28
A+ – Ten of the 28 plays scored an “A+” grade.
F – TJ Warren, Donovan Mitchell, Kyle Anderson
Top Experts of the Day
#1) Rotoballer (Score: 10.00) was perfect with their three plays on the day.
#2) DailyFantasyNerd (Score: 7.67) hauled in two “A+” grades and one “B” score.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
DailyFantasyNerd (6.18 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Andrew Harrison (RG Grind Down)
A+ – Patty Mills (FantasyPros)
Thursday (February 8th)
Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 4.30 (7th of 20)
Total Plays – 33
A+ – Paul George, Jusuf Nurkic, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Dwight Powell, Jonas Valanciunas, Dirk Nowitzki, DJ Augustin, Kyle Kuzma
F – Kyle Lowry, Tim Hardaway, Jr.
Top Experts of the Day
#1) DailyFantasyNerd (Score: 5.33) topped the list on Thursday as half of their six plays scored “A” or better.
#2) FantasyLabs (Score: 5.22) scored a grade of “A” or better with five of their nine selections including three “A+” scores.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
DailyFantasyNerd (6.61 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Kemba Walker (FantasyPros)
A+ – Marcin Gortat (FantasyPros)
Friday (February 9th)
Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 4.45 (9th of 20)
Total Plays – 31
A+ – LeBron James, Cedi Osman, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Korver, Jeff Green, Zach Lavine, Victor Oladipo, James Harden, Jerian Grant
F – Jrue Holiday, Anthony Davis, Will Barton, Jamal Murray, Ricky Rubio, John Collins
Top Experts of the Day
#1) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 7.60) finished the week strong as seven of their 10 plays scored an “A+” grade.
#2A) Daily Overlay – Hot Sheet (Score: 6.60) capped the week strong as six of Brad’s ten plays scored an “A+” grade.
#2B) Rotoballer (Score: 6.60) made five selections and finished with two “A+” grades, two “A” grades and one “B” score.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
FantasyTeamAdvice (6.07 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Giannis Antetokounmpo (Sportsline)
A+ – Reggie Bullock (DailyFantasyNerd)
Overall Leaderboard
Another week with no changes in the top-5. All five experts here saw their score jump though and we now have one at the 5.0 threshold. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 5.00) kicked their score up .03 last week to hit the 5.0 threshold. Should be an interesting race to the finish!
#2) FantasyLabs (Score: 4.97) also bumped their score .03 for the week. That keeps things tight in the race for the top spot.
#3) Rotoballer (Score: 4.95) is beginning to make things very interesting. They saw their score jump .05 last week to close within .02 of 2nd place and a mere .05 of 1st.
#4) RG Consensus (Score: 4.84) continued the upward trend by bumping their score .02 for the week. Still some ground to make up between themselves and the top-3 though.
#5) Daily Overlay – Hot Sheet (Score: 4.81) finished with a strong week and a rise of .04 in score. Brad can move into the top-4 with another good week.
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus picks (Score: 4.66) also saw its score rise .02 for the week. The Consensus remains in 7th place.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 16 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 87.30% |
| 15 | 53.50% | 55.73% | 79.90% | N/A |
| 14 | 49.43% | 66.64% | 59.93% | N/A |
| 13 | 52.92% | 50.03% | 53.70% | 85.15% |
| 12 | 40.07% | 36.56% | 51.10% | 60.78% |
| 11 | 27.29% | 34.98% | 44.43% | 52.06% |
| 10 | 27.98% | 27.71% | 36.83% | 55.01% |
| 9 | 23.81% | 21.23% | 37.46% | 52.54% |
| 8 | 15.80% | 17.10% | 24.32% | 34.94% |
| 7 | 10.57% | 13.93% | 19.81% | 32.98% |
| 6 | 11.95% | 11.68% | 18.11% | 24.21% |
| 5 | 8.58% | 7.18% | 11.33% | 21.99% |
| 4 | 2.98% | 5.71% | 8.40% | 15.89% |
| 3 | 3.96% | 4.44% | 5.95% | 9.44% |
| 2 | 5.51% | 3.18% | 3.46% | 5.11% |
| 1 | 0.74% | 1.77% | 2.26% | 2.47% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 16 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 55.60% |
| 15 | 43.50% | 39.77% | 44.50% | N/A |
| 14 | 33.62% | 41.08% | 38.68% | N/A |
| 13 | 33.90% | 35.93% | 40.00% | 52.38% |
| 12 | 29.30% | 29.62% | 34.37% | 36.53% |
| 11 | 24.80% | 26.39% | 29.46% | 33.43% |
| 10 | 22.31% | 22.25% | 26.23% | 35.66% |
| 9 | 20.48% | 19.45% | 26.32% | 30.65% |
| 8 | 16.57% | 16.40% | 20.64% | 23.33% |
| 7 | 11.51% | 13.72% | 16.83% | 21.35% |
| 6 | 12.33% | 11.62% | 15.79% | 15.60% |
| 5 | 9.95% | 9.02% | 12.05% | 16.11% |
| 4 | 5.62% | 7.78% | 9.81% | 12.14% |
| 3 | 5.88% | 6.52% | 8.35% | 8.35% |
| 2 | 5.64% | 5.08% | 5.75% | 5.23% |
| 1 | 3.13% | 4.01% | 4.04% | 3.04% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
