NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of April 5th
NBA DFS Picks & Grades
This is going to be a photo finish! Things continue to tighten up atop the leaderboard as we head towards the end of the season. A full, five-day week is recapped below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
| Expert | Mon | Rk | Tues | Rk | Wed | Rk | Thur | Rk | Fri | Rk | Avg |
| DFSArmy – Domination Station | 6.57 | 2 | 7.71 | 2 | 4.43 | 22 | 7.25 | 2 | 4.29 | 22 | 6.05 |
| DailyFantasyNerd | 6.38 | 4 | 7.29 | 5 | 5.33 | 15 | 5.88 | 6 | 5.29 | 16 | 6.03 |
| RotoGrinders Lineup Builder | 4.86 | 14 | 7.33 | 3 | 6.00 | 7 | 4.38 | 20 | 6.43 | 5 | 5.80 |
| DFSArmy – Full Court Press | 5.29 | 9 | 7.91 | 1 | 5.09 | 16 | 5.00 | 15 | 5.58 | 12 | 5.77 |
| Industry Consensus – Cash | 5.73 | 7 | 7.30 | 4 | 5.70 | 9 | 5.25 | 13 | 4.67 | 20 | 5.73 |
| FantasyLabs | 4.80 | 16 | 4.78 | 17 | 6.70 | 5 | 4.73 | 18 | 7.50 | 3 | 5.70 |
| DFSArmy – Cheat Sheet | 4.10 | 24 | 5.64 | 9 | 7.36 | 4 | 5.27 | 12 | 5.75 | 10 | 5.62 |
| Rotowire – Optimizer | 4.86 | 14 | 6.00 | 8 | 4.29 | 25 | 6.29 | 4 | 6.63 | 4 | 5.61 |
| DK Playbook – Targets | 4.30 | 21 | 5.50 | 11 | 5.50 | 10 | 6.00 | 5 | 6.38 | 6 | 5.54 |
| Awesemo – Building Blocks | 2.67 | 32 | 2.75 | 28 | 8.25 | 3 | 7.50 | 1 | 6.25 | 7 | 5.48 |
| DailyRoto | 6.45 | 3 | 3.60 | 24 | 6.50 | 6 | – | – | 5.30 | 15 | 5.46 |
| Rotowire | 5.92 | 6 | 4.86 | 16 | 5.46 | 13 | 5.45 | 10 | 5.62 | 11 | 5.46 |
| FantasyPros | 5.42 | 8 | 6.59 | 6 | 5.00 | 18 | 4.40 | 19 | 4.42 | 21 | 5.17 |
| Rotogrinders NBA Grind Down | 4.33 | 20 | 4.17 | 21 | 3.82 | 29 | 5.18 | 14 | 8.22 | 1 | 5.14 |
| Rotoballer | 5.25 | 10 | 6.17 | 7 | 4.27 | 26 | 5.83 | 7 | 3.73 | 27 | 5.05 |
| DFSKarma – Game Theory | 4.53 | 18 | 5.27 | 14 | 5.87 | 8 | 4.87 | 16 | 4.08 | 23 | 4.92 |
| DK Playbook – Values | 5.00 | 11 | – | – | 8.33 | 2 | – | – | 1.33 | 32 | 4.89 |
| RotoGrinders Consensus | 4.21 | 23 | 4.50 | 18 | 5.47 | 12 | 4.75 | 17 | 5.31 | 14 | 4.85 |
| DailyRoto – Optimizer | 6.14 | 5 | 2.57 | 29 | 5.50 | 10 | 3.88 | 25 | 6.00 | 8 | 4.82 |
| Rotoworld | 3.89 | 26 | 5.43 | 13 | 4.88 | 19 | 4.13 | 22 | 5.17 | 17 | 4.70 |
| RunPureSports | 4.00 | 25 | 4.36 | 20 | 4.85 | 20 | 4.00 | 23 | 5.92 | 9 | 4.63 |
| Awesemo – Cheat Sheet | 4.65 | 17 | 3.60 | 24 | 5.38 | 14 | 5.43 | 11 | 4.07 | 24 | 4.63 |
| Industry Consensus – GPP | 3.79 | 27 | 3.16 | 26 | 5.07 | 17 | 5.64 | 8 | 5.39 | 13 | 4.61 |
| DailyFantasyInsider | 5.00 | 11 | 5.50 | 11 | 4.00 | 28 | 6.50 | 3 | 2.00 | 31 | 4.60 |
| Sportsline | 7.50 | 1 | 3.00 | 27 | 3.50 | 30 | 1.00 | 30 | 7.67 | 2 | 4.53 |
| EliteFantasy | 4.34 | 19 | 4.43 | 19 | 4.76 | 21 | 4.23 | 21 | 4.86 | 19 | 4.52 |
| DFSKarma – GPP Plays | 3.00 | 30 | 1.00 | 31 | 10.00 | 1 | 2.00 | 28 | 5.00 | 18 | 4.20 |
| NumberFire – Daily Helper | 3.30 | 29 | 4.89 | 15 | 4.30 | 24 | 5.63 | 9 | 2.60 | 30 | 4.14 |
| FantasyAlarm – Playbook | 3.66 | 28 | 4.14 | 22 | 4.10 | 27 | 3.73 | 26 | 3.92 | 25 | 3.91 |
| FantasyAlarm – Lineup Generator | 4.25 | 22 | 5.63 | 10 | 3.50 | 30 | 1.71 | 29 | 3.71 | 28 | 3.76 |
| DailyFantasySportsRankings | 3.00 | 30 | 2.40 | 30 | 4.40 | 23 | 4.00 | 23 | 3.80 | 26 | 3.52 |
| SportsGamblingPodcast | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3.43 | 27 | – | – | 3.43 |
| Rotoworld – Pivots | – | – | 4.00 | 23 | 2.50 | 32 | – | – | 2.67 | 29 | 3.06 |
| Rotogrinders Core Plays | 5.00 | 11 | – | – | 2.50 | 32 | 0.50 | 31 | – | – | 2.67 |
Sleepers of the Week
Each week we’ll highlight players that scored an “A+” grade but were selected by only one expert.
Monday
- Devin Booker (DFS Army Full Court Press)
- Darius Garland (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- Deni Avdija (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- Killian Hayes (FantasyPros)
- Davis Bertans (FantasyPros)
- Mikal Bridges (FantasyPros)
Tuesday
- Bobby Portis (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- Cory Joseph (Fantasy Alarm Lineup Generator)
- Kyle Anderson (Fantasy Alarm Lineup Generator)
- Goga Bitadze (FantasyLabs)
- Will Barton (FantasyPros)
- Dillon Brooks (FantasyPros)
- Talen Horton-Tucker (FantasyPros)
- Robret Covington (Rotoworld Pivots)
Wednesday
- Jakarr Sampson (DFS Army Cheat Sheet)
- Onyeka Okongwu (DFS Army Cheat Sheet)
- Donovan Mitchell (EliteFantasy)
- Theo Maledon (Rotoballer)
- Tyus Jones (Rotowire)
- Grayson Allen (Rotowire)
Thursday
- None
Friday
- None
Overall Leaderboard
Our top-3 for the season is below. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) Awesemo Building Blocks (Score: 5.56)
#2) DFS Army Full Court Press (Score: 5.55)
#3) Sportsline (Score: 5.51)
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.42) moved up again last week in to 4th place. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.55) is in 25th place after last week.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 26 | 76.6% | N/A | N/A | 45.1% |
| 25 | N/A | 77.0% | 78.80% | 91.6% |
| 24 | 74.5% | 82.9% | N/A | 84.4% |
| 23 | 70.6% | 81.5% | 55.1% | 73.4% |
| 22 | 70.6% | 71.5% | 78.3% | 71.2% |
| 21 | 67.2% | 63.2% | 33.3% | 61.9% |
| 20 | 60.8% | N/A | 41.9% | 70.8% |
| 19 | 58.9% | 56.4% | 49.2% | 58.3% |
| 18 | 58.7% | 66.2% | 37.55% | 71.7% |
| 17 | 48.3% | 62.3% | 51.8% | 76.7% |
| 16 | 38.5% | 50.5% | 44.3% | 71.6% |
| 15 | 44.3% | 42.2% | 58.9% | 40.6% |
| 14 | 32.0% | 38.9% | 38.5% | 38.4% |
| 13 | 32.7% | 34.3% | 39.0% | 62.0% |
| 12 | 20.4% | 28.2% | 31.5% | 42.6% |
| 11 | 22.0% | 26.5% | 30.7% | 39.4% |
| 10 | 16.0% | 21.0% | 22.4% | 38.4% |
| 9 | 12.7% | 14.2% | 17.4% | 27.1% |
| 8 | 10.5% | 17.3% | 21.2% | 32.9% |
| 7 | 5.5% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 20.4% |
| 6 | 5.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 19.3% |
| 5 | 4.1% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 17.4% |
| 4 | 2.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 10.7% |
| 3 | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 10.6% |
| 2 | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% |
| 1 | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 26 | 43.2% | N/A | N/A | 33.6% |
| 25 | N/A | 51.9% | 40.20% | 70.0% |
| 24 | 43.0% | 47.7% | N/A | 55.8% |
| 23 | 38.8% | 46.2% | 41.6% | 51.0% |
| 22 | 45.8% | 43.3% | 52.6% | 53.3% |
| 21 | 40.2% | 37.8% | 29.2% | 45.0% |
| 20 | 38.0% | N/A | 31.4% | 44.9% |
| 19 | 33.7% | 32.8% | 34.6% | 36.8% |
| 18 | 37.3% | 37.4% | 33.20% | 46.6% |
| 17 | 34.6% | 39.2% | 37.7% | 49.1% |
| 16 | 29.0% | 32.0% | 31.5% | 48.7% |
| 15 | 28.0% | 29.3% | 35.7% | 26.8% |
| 14 | 25.1% | 27.6% | 27.1% | 28.6% |
| 13 | 24.1% | 23.0% | 28.1% | 41.6% |
| 12 | 18.0% | 21.0% | 23.5% | 27.8% |
| 11 | 19.7% | 21.2% | 24.2% | 27.2% |
| 10 | 14.6% | 18.0% | 18.4% | 25.6% |
| 9 | 13.8% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 19.7% |
| 8 | 11.4% | 14.1% | 18.3% | 20.7% |
| 7 | 8.9% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 16.2% |
| 6 | 7.8% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 14.6% |
| 5 | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 14.5% |
| 4 | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% |
| 3 | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% |
| 2 | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% |
| 1 | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
