NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of January 3rd
NBA DFS Picks & Grades
There has been bookoos of value in NBA DFS lately due to the emergency 10-day contracts. Plenty of guys that I remember from college and think “where the heck has that guy been” have been getting a lot of run. Still have three experts over 6.0 on the DO score scale. A four-day week is recapped below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
| Expert | Mon | Rk | Tues | Rk | Wed | Rk | Fri | Rk | Avg |
| Rotogrinders Core Plays | 10.00 | 1 | 7.50 | 1 | 6.50 | 6 | 10.00 | 1 | 8.50 |
| Awesemo – Building Blocks | 10.00 | 1 | 5.00 | 11 | 7.50 | 2 | 7.50 | 11 | 7.50 |
| DailyFantasyNerd | 4.88 | 20 | 5.75 | 7 | 7.13 | 4 | 9.17 | 2 | 6.73 |
| DailyFantasyInsider | 7.67 | 3 | 5.00 | 11 | 6.50 | 6 | 7.50 | 11 | 6.67 |
| DailyRoto – Optimizer | 4.25 | 24 | 6.38 | 3 | 7.13 | 4 | 8.29 | 5 | 6.51 |
| DFSArmy – Domination Station | 6.13 | 8 | 5.75 | 7 | 6.13 | 9 | 8.00 | 6 | 6.50 |
| Awesemo – Cheat Sheet | 6.80 | 6 | 3.50 | 28 | 7.33 | 3 | 8.00 | 6 | 6.41 |
| DFSArmy – Cheat Sheet | 5.00 | 17 | 5.33 | 9 | 6.50 | 6 | 7.88 | 8 | 6.18 |
| Industry Consensus – Cash | 6.91 | 5 | 4.09 | 24 | 5.67 | 10 | 7.88 | 8 | 6.14 |
| Sportsline | 4.50 | 22 | 3.25 | 29 | 7.75 | 1 | 8.75 | 3 | 6.06 |
| DK Playbook – Targets | 5.80 | 12 | 4.70 | 16 | 4.56 | 17 | 8.38 | 4 | 5.86 |
| RotoGrinders Lineup Builder | 7.63 | 4 | 4.50 | 19 | 5.50 | 11 | 5.60 | 22 | 5.81 |
| DFSArmy – Full Court Press | – | – | 5.78 | 6 | – | – | – | – | 5.78 |
| Rotogrinders NBA Grind Down | 5.95 | 11 | 5.00 | 11 | 4.87 | 16 | 6.82 | 15 | 5.66 |
| NumberFire – Daily Helper | 5.67 | 15 | 4.67 | 17 | 4.38 | 20 | 7.57 | 10 | 5.57 |
| FantasyAlarm – Lineup Generator | 5.75 | 13 | 6.25 | 5 | 5.14 | 14 | 5.00 | 27 | 5.54 |
| Rotowire | 6.73 | 7 | 3.73 | 27 | 3.40 | 26 | 7.45 | 13 | 5.33 |
| FantasyLabs | 5.11 | 16 | 3.80 | 25 | 4.56 | 17 | 7.29 | 14 | 5.19 |
| DK Playbook – Values | 3.75 | 27 | – | – | 5.50 | 11 | 6.25 | 19 | 5.17 |
| Rotowire – Optimizer | 5.00 | 17 | 4.25 | 20 | 4.88 | 15 | 6.50 | 16 | 5.16 |
| RotoGrinders Consensus | 5.70 | 14 | 4.80 | 15 | 4.35 | 21 | 5.76 | 21 | 5.15 |
| DFSKarma – Game Theory | 6.00 | 9 | 4.55 | 18 | 4.43 | 19 | 5.33 | 26 | 5.08 |
| RunPureSports | 3.82 | 26 | 4.13 | 23 | 5.40 | 13 | 6.32 | 17 | 4.92 |
| NBC Sports Edge | 4.43 | 23 | 6.38 | 3 | 3.25 | 28 | 5.50 | 24 | 4.89 |
| Industry Consensus – GPP | 4.25 | 24 | 6.67 | 2 | 3.70 | 25 | 4.50 | 29 | 4.78 |
| FantasyAlarm – Playbook | 4.53 | 21 | 5.03 | 10 | 4.12 | 23 | 5.41 | 25 | 4.77 |
| EliteFantasy | 4.96 | 19 | 4.84 | 14 | 3.71 | 24 | 5.52 | 23 | 4.76 |
| DailyFantasySportsRankings | 6.00 | 9 | 3.00 | 30 | 3.40 | 26 | 6.00 | 20 | 4.60 |
| FantasyPros | 3.27 | 29 | 4.18 | 21 | 4.20 | 22 | 4.89 | 28 | 4.14 |
| Rotoballer | 3.75 | 27 | 3.75 | 26 | 2.50 | 29 | 6.29 | 18 | 4.07 |
| NBC Sports Edge – Pivots | 3.20 | 30 | 4.14 | 22 | 1.43 | 30 | 3.38 | 31 | 3.04 |
Sleepers of the Week
Each week we’ll highlight players that scored an “A+” grade but were selected by only one expert.
Monday
- Miles Bridges (DFS Karma Game Theory)
- Josh Christopher (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Furkan Korkmaz (FantasyPros)
- Maxi Kleber (FantasyPros)
- Nassir Little (RunPureSports)
Tuesday
- Buddy Hield (FantasyPros)
- Mikal Bridges (FantasyPros)
- Talen Horton-Tucker (FantasyPros)
- Bismack Biyombo (Rotowire Optimizer)
Wednesday
- Seth Curry (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Max Strus (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Pascal Siakam (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Dejounte Murray (DFS Alarm Lineup Generator)
- Bojan Bogdanovic (FantasyPros)
- Royce O’Neale (FantasyPros)
- PJ Tucker (RunPureSports)
- DeMarcus Cousins (RunPureSports)
Friday
- Rajon Rondo (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Jae’Sean Tate (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- De’Aaron Fox (EliteFantasy)
- Jeff Green (FantasyPros)
- Wesley Matthews (Rotoballer)
- Fred VanVleet (Rotowire)
- Aaron Wiggins (Rotowire)
- Malik Monk (NBC Sports Edge)
- Eric Paschall (RunPureSports)
- Reggie Bullock (RunPureSports)
Value Tracker
- FantasyPros – 106
- DFS Alarm Playbook – 42
- RunPureSports – 30
- EliteFantasy – 18
- DFS Army Full Court Press – 14
- Rotowire – 13
- DFS Alarm Lineup Generator – 11
- NBC Sports Edge Pivots – 8
- DK Playbook Values – 6
- DFS Karma Game Theory – 6
- DK Playbook Targets – 5
- NBC Sports Edge – 5
- Rotowire Optimizer – 5
- DailyFantasySportsRankings – 4
- FantasyLabs – 4
- RG Consensus – 4
- NumberFire Daily Helper – 4
- Rotoballer – 4
- RG Grind Down – 3
- DailyRoto Optimizer – 3
- Sportsline – 2
- Awesemo Cheat Sheet – 1
- DFS Army Domination Station – 1
- RG Lineup Builder – 1
- RG 6-Pack – 1
- DFS Army Cheat Sheet – 1
Overall Leaderboard
Our top-3 for the season is below. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) DailyFantasyInsider (Score: 6.16)
#2) RG Core Plays (Score: 6.09)
#3) Sportsline (Score: 6.04)
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.65) slid to 6th place. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.81) stayed in 24th place.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 26 | 83.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 | 59.4% | N/A | N/A | 62.9% |
| 24 | N/A | N/A | 85.2% | N/A |
| 23 | 87.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22 | 73.2% | N/A | 89.1% | 68.1% |
| 21 | 84.0% | N/A | 87.4% | N/A |
| 20 | 66.9% | 74.7% | 91.3% | 65.1% |
| 19 | 64.6% | 70.8% | 67.7% | 84.2% |
| 18 | 71.3% | 59.1% | 69.9% | 74.4% |
| 17 | 74.8% | 58.8% | 66.7% | 65.3% |
| 16 | 53.0% | 51.6% | 44.4% | 61.5% |
| 15 | 46.6% | 53.1% | 53.2% | 58.5% |
| 14 | 54.6% | 43.6% | 49.7% | 58.4% |
| 13 | 32.8% | 48.6% | 52.5% | 42.5% |
| 12 | 29.9% | 33.9% | 44.8% | 49.2% |
| 11 | 22.4% | 17.9% | 40.0% | 25.2% |
| 10 | 28.0% | 29.2% | 33.2% | 31.9% |
| 9 | 16.7% | 21.1% | 25.6% | 28.1% |
| 8 | 17.9% | 14.3% | 31.8% | 30.1% |
| 7 | 16.4% | 15.7% | 18.0% | 19.9% |
| 6 | 8.9% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 14.1% |
| 5 | 4.6% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 11.4% |
| 4 | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 11.9% |
| 3 | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% |
| 2 | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% |
| 1 | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 26 | 55.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 | 49.0% | N/A | N/A | 34.8% |
| 24 | N/A | N/A | 64.5% | N/A |
| 23 | 67.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22 | 43.0% | N/A | 68.0% | 50.1% |
| 21 | 54.4% | N/A | 67.5% | N/A |
| 20 | 34.9% | 55.1% | 64.1% | 43.0% |
| 19 | 46.7% | 42.4% | 41.2% | 52.5% |
| 18 | 34.5% | 41.1% | 41.4% | 47.1% |
| 17 | 42.2% | 36.5% | 43.1% | 42.3% |
| 16 | 32.9% | 32.0% | 29.6% | 37.5% |
| 15 | 29.5% | 38.1% | 31.9% | 42.1% |
| 14 | 32.5% | 33.8% | 35.9% | 35.6% |
| 13 | 22.9% | 30.4% | 36.9% | 30.3% |
| 12 | 22.0% | 22.5% | 28.8% | 31.1% |
| 11 | 20.1% | 22.2% | 27.1% | 22.8% |
| 10 | 21.4% | 21.1% | 22.5% | 23.6% |
| 9 | 17.3% | 15.3% | 19.8% | 21.6% |
| 8 | 15.0% | 15.0% | 24.2% | 23.1% |
| 7 | 13.2% | 14.2% | 18.1% | 15.5% |
| 6 | 10.3% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 11.4% |
| 5 | 8.0% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 10.6% |
| 4 | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.6% |
| 3 | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% |
| 2 | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% |
| 1 | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
