It’s a big week in college football this week and let me say this….
LSU will beat Alabama. Texas Tech beats Oklahoma.
We will see if those statements age well or not, but in the meantime, we have 11 games on DraftKings’ early slate of games, up one from the usual 10.
More than half of the games have projected totals of 60 or more points, and you could almost make a case that West Virginia and Texas, should be at 60 also.
Speaking of West Virginia and Texas, outside of one player, no one else makes this weeks’ list. I love Texas in a bounce back spot at home and to hit the over in this game. I like West Virginia also, but they each have tons of receiving weapons and I can’t really narrow it down to one player. Simms, Sills and Jennings could all go off, and picking one of them is troublesome, so I say play them all. Same goes for the Texas receivers Humphrey and Johnson.
I will be stacking that game vehemently. But where else will I be attacking and stacking?
Another situation to monitor is Georgia Tech. Taquon Marshall is supposed to start, but Oliver is supposed to play snaps. Are they both taking a chance on in tournaments? Absolutely. I just hope they don’t each eat into each other’s production. However, it will be hard to stomach playing them.
Let’s take a look. Good luck in Week 10!
Dwayne Haskins – Ohio State – $9,800
Analysis: Coming off a blowout upset to Purdue, this is a get right spot for Ohio State at home. Angry Buckeyes getting a Nebraska team allowing 33 points per game and 272 yards passing per game. Ohio State’s running game is hit or miss thus Haskins will be given the green light to light up the scoreboard, where he’s scored 7 more fantasy points per game at home and the projected total is at 72, second highest of the slate.
Will Grier – West Virginia – $9,100
Analysis: If I can’t decide on the receiver I want to play, a naked Will Grier can suffice this week against the Longhorns. While we want to target players in games with high totals, you also want to play guys in games you feel comfortable saying the score goes over the projected O/U. I feel that way this week as West Virginia travels to Austin to take on the Longhorns. Texas was lit up by Oklahoma State last week, and West Virginia has an even more powerful passing attack, led by Grier and his three beefcake receivers (Sills, Simms and Jennings).
Sam Ehlinger – Texas – $8,600
Analysis: Ehlinger gets it done with his arms and legs, raising his floor and ceiling. The Mountaineers are staunch against the pass, but those numbers are a bit skewed considering the competition WVU has faced in non-conference and having faced Kansas already, too. Texas also is the favorite in this game, and if they are to win, it will be on the arm and shoulders of Ehlinger.
Eric Dungey – Syracuse – $8,400
Analysis: Yes, Syracuse and Wake Forest has the highest projected-total of this early slate at 75.5 points. Syracuse is only favored by -4.5 points, another sign that these teams are evenly matched and likely to be able to move the ball and put up points. Dungey is that dual-threat QB we love to target in CFB DFS. Dungey is a $9K+ QB and he’s underpriced this week in the slate’s highest O/U game.
Adrian Martinez – Nebraska – $7,800
Analysis: Another dual threat quarterback here in a game with a high total. Martinez has two great receiving weapons to throw the ball to all over the field and we’ve come to learn that teams can throw on Ohio State at will, having allowed 241 passing yards per game.
Feleipe Franks – Florida – $5,300
Analysis: Franks is a value QB play against a run funnel team in the Missouri Tigers, who are gashed by opponent passing games. I don’t expect Franks to produce Dungey and Haskins numbers, but his dual-threat ability and price allow you to jam in lots of top guys in your lineups. For what it’s worth, despite Florida not being a pass-first team, Missouri has allowed 288 passing yards per game to opposing QBs.