We’ve got a new name, but it’s an old course. The D&D is played at the Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth, Texas. It’s a 7,204-yard par 70. Short and tight; expect the ball strikers to rise to the top this week.
Crowne Plaza Dean and Deluca Invitational
1. Chris Kirk -12
T-2. Jason Bohn -11
T-2. Jordan Spieth -11
T-2. Brandt Snedeker -11
T-5. Pat Perez -10
T-5. Adam Hadwin -10
T-5. Kevin Kisner -10
T-5. George McNeill -10
T-5. Ian Poulter -10
T-10. (Too many to list) -9
TARGET STATS (courtesy of FantasyGolfMetrics.com)
- Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green
- Strokes Gained: Putting
- Birdie or Better %
- Par 4 Scoring
- Par 5 Scoring
PICKS! PICKS! PICKS! PICKS! PICKS! PICKS! PICKS! PICKS! PICKS! PICKS!
Going to change up the format of the picks a little. I will pick out my favorite name at each price tier and try to help you build a solid core. I’ll throw out some peripheral plays at the end. Also, I’ll give you a few names I like for the BMW if you plan on playing some Euro action.
Jordan Spieth $12800
Colonial is a much better fit for Jordan than last week’s track. In three career starts here, he’s finished 7th, 14th, and 2nd. You have to think this recent skid is getting in his head a bit, and there’s no better way to silence critics than winning. He’ll have hometown support, and I think he takes this one down.
Chris Kirk $9700
The defending champ. He’s been knocking on the door recently, with four top-25s in his last six starts, and he gets a course this week that suits his game. Kirk excels on par 4s and has fantastic proximity numbers. He’s solid tee-to-green and a passable putter. Hard to pass him up at $9700.
Danny Lee $8800
I picked Spieth, I like Kirk, but it just feels like a Danny Lee week. He’s always hanging around the leaderboard, and you just know another win is coming for him soon enough. He won at Greenbrier last year, and I think success there should translate. Lee’s profile is similar to, and right there with, Chris Kirk’s at almost a full $1k less. Danny also lives in Texas and should get a little home court bump.
Boo Weekley $7400
Weekley rolls into Colonial, where he has some excellent history, on the heels of three straight solid outings. He’s a former champion (2013) and has averaged an impressive 24.2 DK points above field average in six career D&D starts. It makes sense why Boo plays well here; he’s an accuracy player that relies on the “fairways and greens” mantra. He boasts well above average proximity numbers and should benefit from the diminished emphasis on distance.
Emiliano Grillo $6700
The major factor here is the price. It’s very good. This is Grillo’s first trip to Colonial, and while he’s tended to have more success at the longer tracks, I think he could turn in a surprisingly good performance. He’s great on par 4s, has good proximity numbers, okay tee-to-green, and makes his fair share of birdies. All good things.
Ben Crane $6200
Ben Crane finished T-24 last week at the Bryon Nelson. Think about that. The guy who hits it 278 off the tee and loses 0.2 strokes per round tee-to-green to the field finished T-24 at a “bombers’ course.” I think we can infer that Crane is playing well. He’s a player that leans heavily on accuracy and putting; two skills that should show up well at Colonial, and it shows. Crane has four top-10s in eight career D&D starts. Granted, his game fell of the rails a bit in recent years, but as I mentioned earlier, I really liked what I saw out of him last week. Oh, and he’s only $6200. So we’ve got form (I think), fit, and price. Yes, please.
- Adam Scott $11300 – If you need to drop down from Spieth, Scott is a fine choice.
- Zach Johnson $10700 – Good alternative to Kuchar.
- Patrick Reed $10000 – Right there with Kirk in this range.
- Brandt Snedeker $8900 – One of the best values on the board.
- Jason Dufner $8400 – Nice stats/form/course history combo at a reasonable price.
- William McGirt $7000 – Has the type of game I’m looking for this week.
- Si Woo Kim $5900 – Not the best fit, but his talent vastly outpaces his price.
BMW CHAMPIONSHIP PICKS
- Shane Lowry $11000
- Martin Kaymer $10400
- Byeong-Hun An $10100
- Bradley Dredge $8200
- Andy Sullivan $8100
- Chris Wood $8000
- Thongchai Jaidee $7800
- David Lingmerth $7300
- Sebastian Gros $6800
- Rikard Karlberg $6600
I kind of hate that we have Euro action available now, as it’s going to wreak havoc on my sleep schedule, but you gotta do what you gotta do. Good luck this week; hope you all win some cash.