There are two high-priced stud pitchers on the 15-game Tuesday MLB slate. Both of them combined will likely be close to 100% owned in Cash games but you’ll need to put your stake in the ground on one of them. See my pick and reasoning on which one I’m going with along with a Darkhorse pick that is not for timid. I also have a game stack to consider for your GPP lineups.
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Let’s mow down the competition 3 Up and 3 Down…
3 Up
Ace
Chris Sale (FD-$11,400 / DK-$12,600)
Sale did not have his best stuff in his last start allowing seven runs in five innings to the Indians. Despite the poor outing, Sale still only allowed an 11.1% hard hit rate so it’s not like the Indians were knocking the cover off the ball. Sale will get to bounce back against a Rays’ offense that ranks third in strikeout rate (24.9%) and are coming off a three-game series with the Brewers that saw them score a total of two runs. Sale is a huge favorite and I prefer him in Cash games over Corey Kluber.
Value
Chad Kuhl (FD-$6,300 / DK-$6,800)
I do have an interest in pitchers like Jose Quintana and Michael Wacha in the mid-priced tier but I think you might be able to get similar production out of Kuhl for a fraction of the price. Kuhl has pitched very well over his last seven starts with a 2.70 ERA and a solid 19.3% strikeout rate. He tossed seven shutout innings with six strikeouts in his previous start and will face a Tigers’ offense that ranks in the bottom six in wOBA and wRC+ over the last 30 days. Plus, they will lose the DH traveling to the NL park. Using Kuhl as your second pitcher on two-pitcher sites will allow you pay up from some bats.
Darkhorse
Zack Godley (FD-$8,900 / DK-$7,600)
I know this will be an unpopular play tonight. Godley is facing the Dodgers who I would usually avoid at all costs but Godley has pitched very well this season including back-to-back starts with 6+ innings and no runs allowed against the Cubs and Cardinals. Godley pitched well against the Dodgers back in July allowing just one run and three hits in 5 2/3 innings with six strikeouts. Dodgers’ batters have just a .174 wOBA and 25% strikeout rate against Godley in his career. Give Godley a shot in GPP lineups, especially on DraftKings where he is discounted.
3 Down
Top Stacks
Astros vs. Derek Holland
Stacking the Astros is always a good idea. It becomes a great idea when they are facing a weak left-handed pitcher in a hitter-friendly ballpark. Holland has allowed 26 home runs in 21 starts this season including 23 to right-handed hitters. Righties have a .397 wOBA against Holland this season.
Jose Altuve (FD-$4,200 / DK-$5,400) – Altuve has multiple hits in six of his last 10 games and has posted a .427 wOBA and .245 ISO versus lefties this season.
Alex Bregman (FD-$3,800 / DK-$4,400) – Bregman has a nine-game hitting streak that has included an extra-base hit in each of the last eight games. He has a .402 wOBA and .211 ISO versus lefties this year.
Marwin Gonzalez (FD-$3,300 / DK-$4,600) – Gonzalez has two hits in back-to-back games including one long ball and has a solid .341 wOBA versus lefties this year.
George Springer (FD-$4,000 / DK-$4,800) – It sounds like Springer will return tonight if so plug him right into your Astros’ stack. If he doesn’t play, then consider including Yuli Gurriel.
Nationals vs. Vance Worley
Worley held the Nationals in check in his last start throwing seven shutout innings in Miami. Look for the Nationals’ bats to wake up against Worley with some home cookin’ in DC on Tuesday. Worley has allowed a .419 wOBA with a 5.73 ERA on the road this season.
Bryce Harper (FD-$4,800 / DK-$5,300) – Harper looks locked in again with seven hits over his last four games including a pair of homers. He has a .463 wOBA and .356 ISO versus righties this season.
Daniel Murphy (FD-$3,900 / DK-$5,200) – Murphy didn’t play against Worley in his last start which is strange since he is 12-for-22 with three extra-base hits off Worley in his career.
Adam Lind (FD-$2,200 / DK-$3,500) – Lind has a .369 wOBA and .234 ISO versus righties this season and his a cheaper, lower owned pivot off Ryan Zimmerman to use in a Nationals’ stack.
Anthony Rendon (FD-$3,700 / DK-$4,800) – Rendon has been great at home this season with a .425 wOBA and .295 ISO.
Contrarian Stack
Marlins vs. AJ Cole
I’m stacking up both sides of the Nationals/Marlins matchup on Tuesday night with AJ Cole on the mound for the Nationals. Cole gave up five runs in five innings including a pair of long balls to the Marlins in Miami last week and will be making just his 12th start of his career with a 5.22 ERA while allowing 1.53 HR/9.
Giancarlo Stanton (FD-$4,700 / DK-$5,500) – Stanton has four home runs over his last four games and has a .400 wOBA and .324 ISO versus righties this season.
Marcell Ozuna (FD-$3,700 / DK-$4,600) – Ozuna has three homers over his last eight games with a .392 wOBA and .279 ISO against righties this year.
Christian Yelich (FD-$3,400 / DK-$3,900) – Yelich has three extra-base hits in four career at-bats against Cole and is reasonably priced on both sites.
Dee Gordon (FD-$3,600 / DK-$4,500) – Gordon had three hits, three runs and a steal the last game he matched up with Cole and the Nationals.
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