Tuesday night brings us a full 15-game MLB slate. Determining where to spend your salary will be difficult on the slate that includes two high-priced ace pitching options and a flurry of high-priced hitters in favorable matchups and hitting environments. I’m leaning toward saving salary on the mound to be able to afford a bunch of the high-priced bats, as such, I will be recommending two value pitching options plus a darkhorse option on the hill.
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Let’s mow down the competition 3 Up and 3 Down…
3 Up
Value
Garrett Richards (FD-$8,500 / DK-$8,400)
Richards is far from “safe” as he just returned from a DL stint and has had numerous injuries over his career. In his return to the mound, he tossed five innings against tonight’s opponent, the Mariners, allowing two runs with eight strikeouts. Richards has already pitched against the Mariners three times this season allowing a total of four runs over 14 innings while recording 18 strikeouts with all games coming at Seattle. He will be a small home favorite this time around at home on Tuesday. Richards should be able to increase his pitch count in his second game back allowing him to get a little deeper into the game giving him a more strikeout upside. He is worth both Cash and GPP consideration.
Jose Quintana (FD-$7,200 / DK-$8,300)
Quintana is probably the safest pitcher of the trio of recommendations for Tuesday’s slate. He will move to a pitcher-friendly park in San Francisco to face a Giants offense that ranks dead last in wOBA (.246) and wRC+ (55) against left-handed pitchers over the last 30 days. Strikeouts might be a little hard to come by for Quintana as he hasn’t topped four in any of his last five outings. If you want more upside out of your #2 SP on two-pitcher sites then consider the risk/reward option coming in as my Darkhorse play.
Darkhorse
Rich Hill (FD-$8,000 / DK-$8,600)
Hill left his last start after five innings due to neck tightness and has had a variety of nagging injuries over the last few seasons that often force him to exit early from games which makes him a high-risk/reward option. He is best suited for GPPs but could be worth consideration in Cash games on two-pitcher sites. He gets a favorable matchup on Tuesday against the Padres who have the third highest strikeout rate (24.5%) against lefties this season and rank near to bottom in wOBA (.295) and wRC+ (87).
3 Down
Top Stacks
Red Sox vs. Yovani Gallardo
My top two stacks look the same as last night with the Red Sox and Twins. The Red Sox could be a little lowered owned on Tuesday with 15 games and a game at Coors Field on the slate. The Red Sox are currently riding a seven-game winning streak over which they have scored 55 runs. Tuesday, they will face righty Yovani Gallardo who has posted a 6.69 ERA, low 14.7% strikeout rate and yielded a .378 wOBA over the last 12 months. Consider using Jackie Bradley as a fifth player for a wraparound stack to be a little different.
Mookie Betts (FD-$5,100 / DK-$6,000) – Betts is riding a seven-game hitting streak over which he is batting .387 with three doubles and two homers.
JD Martinez (FD-$4,800 / DK-$5,800) – Martinez has produced two hits in each of his last five games while hitting three homers during that stretch.
Andrew Benintendi (FD-$4,600 / DK-$5,300) – Benintendi has a .435 wOBA and .272 ISO at home versus righties this season.
Steve Pearce (FD-$3,200 / DK-$4,000) – Pearce has fit right into the middle of the Red Sox lineup and produced four multi-hit games over his last five outings.
Twins vs. Ian Kennedy
Kennedy has struggled against Twins hitters over his career allowing a combined .438 wOBA with 10 homers in 148 career plate appearances. He continues to get hurt by the long ball this season serving up 17 homers on the year including five over his last three starts.
Eddie Rosario (FD-$3,500 / DK-$4,800) – Rosario is 7-for-17 (.412) with three doubles and a homer off Kennedy in his career.
Eduardo Escobar (FD-$3,700 / DK-$4,400) – Escobar has a .429 average including two homers in 21 at-bats against Kennedy in his career and a .408 wOBA and .345 ISO at home against righties this season.
Brian Dozier (FD-$4,100 / DK-$4,100) – Dozier has hits in four straight games including a pair of doubles and a homer.
Logan Morrison (FD-$2,900 / DK-$3,500) – Morrison has posted a .412 average and two long balls in 17 career at-bats versus Kennedy.
Contrarian Stack
Dodgers vs. Eric Lauer
I’m not sure how contrarian the Dodgers will be but they don’t have a very high Vegas implied run total and are playing at a pitcher-friendly park in San Diego which could both limit their ownership. After some early season struggles, Eric Lauer has pitched decently over his last seven starts. However, righties have done some damage against the young lefty this season with a .386 wOBA and 1.52 HR/9 so stack up the Dodgers righties for a late-night hammer.
Matt Kemp (FD-$3,400 / DK-$4,500) – Kemp has posted a .420 wOBA and .308 ISO against southpaws this season.
Chris Taylor (FD-$2,900 / DK-$4,200) – Taylor could bat leadoff against the lefty and offer some cheap value at a tough to fill SS position with his .346 wOBA and .221 ISO against lefties this season.
Kike Hernandez (FD-$2,900 / DK-$3,700) – Hernandez often occupies the two-hole against lefties and has a solid .335 wOBA and .226 ISO against southpaws this season.
Justin Turner (FD-$3,800 / DK-$4,100) – Turner is coming off a three-hit game on Monday and has posted a .424 wOBA against lefties this season.
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