I am ready for Week 7 to be in my rear-view mirror.
I’ll explain more about my week leading up to Week 7 lineup construction in my Cash Game Index on Thursday.
I’ll leave Week 7 in the dust after Thursday, but am tabling that discussion for Week 8’s GPP Index, which will focus on another 10-game slate.
We have a lot of byes, games on Thursday, Monday and another dad-gum (Texas speak) London game. But I actually love that the London game isn’t on the main slate. It’s awful. Philly and Jacksonville? No thanks.
And at least we don’t have to worry about Julio Jones’ touchdown watch…until Week 9.
Byes this week – Cowboys, Falcons, Chargers, and Titans. Amari Cooper’s Cowboys debut will have to wait a week.
And with this GPP write up being so early in the week, who knows what news comes down the pipe between now and lock, more on that also coming up in the Cash Game Index later this week.
So, shall we get started on Week 8? Yes, please!
Patrick Mahomes – Kansas City Chiefs – $7,000
Analysis: Perhaps KC and Denver will be an exception to the rule, but typically division games fall under the projected total second time around. With Mahomes’ price being super elevated and the Chiefs playing at home, the toughest place to play in the NFL, I can’t consider Mahomes a cash-game play this week. Denver also is limiting opposing QBs fantasy points as they are a top-10 defense against QBs this season.
Andy Dalton – Cincinnati Bengals – $6,200
Analysis: Is Andy Dalton over $6K? Yes? Then he’s a GPP play only, that’s my rule. It’s unfortunate because he gets the best matchup on the board – the Tampa Bay Bucs, who allow the most fantasy points per game to opposing QBs.
Ben Roethlisberger – Pittsburgh Steelers – $6,100
Analysis: What I said about Mahomes applies to Roethlisberger against the Browns this week. IF this game was in Cleveland for Round 2, I wouldn’t even use Big Ben. BUT since he has the weapons and is at home, I can’t ignore his price and the upside he brings when he is playing a team at home.
Jameis Winston – Tampa Bay Buccaneers – $6,000
Analysis: Winston’s first two games have been excellent, but now his price is at the $6K price tag. He showed some mobility last week, even scoring a rushing touchdown, but that’s not usually his thing. IF he uses this legs more, he’s easily a cash game consideration each week. But I will defer to history with Winston’s legs. This week he gets the Bengals, who are 5th in fantasy points allowed to QBs. I won’t play Winston cash, but I love this game and certainly will be stacking it every which way as it has the third-highest O/U of the slate.
Matthew Stafford – Detroit Lions – $5,600
Analysis: I weirdly like this Detroit/Seattle game as it has the fifth-highest total on the board this week. Considering I think two of the top-5 O/Us will fall in the under, I think this game has all the makings of a shootout, despite both defenses being in the bottom-10 in fantasy points allowed to QBs. The Lions have 3 big receiver weapons and a potential breakout running back in Kerryon Johnson while the Seahawks have a smash mouth running attack and the Lions are the worst in rushing yards allowed in the league.