Hard to believe we are already in Week 5 of the NFL.
Next thing we know, it will be Thanksgiving, then Christmas then the NFL playoffs and sadness.
I hope your start to NFL DFS has been awesome in 2017. Hopefully, our content at DailyOverlay has been a solid resource for you and we can continue to help you with your lineup builds.
Week 4 was a tough one for injuries: Dalvin Cook, Derek Carr, Marcus Mariota, Ty Montgomery, Julio Jones, Mohamed Sanu, Chris Carson…
Injuries are a cruel portion of fantasy sports. They can turn a week sour in a hurry, but they also can help us with renewed opportunity the following week.
So while we stay close to our Twitter feeds and other fantasy notifications this week for injury news, we also have to play with the hand that is dealt to us for byes.
Week 5 also has some weather concerns, the biggest being a tropical system that could buzz by Florida come game time Sunday and cause high winds and rain.
There’s definitely one clear cut game the ownership is going to flock to and paying up for RB looks like the way to make optimal lineups.
Quarterback can provide some value and one of my picks might be considered a way off-the-board play, but we shall see.
With all of that said, we are going to rock and roll with rankings and then official picks.
Quarterbacks
- Aaron Rodgers
- Dak Prescott
- Russell Wilson
- Carson Palmer
- Jacoby Brissett
Running Backs
- Le’Veon Bell
- Ezekiel Elliott
- Todd Gurley
- Melvin Gordon
- Christian McCaffrey
Wide Receivers
- Dez Bryant
- Jordy Nelson
- DeVante Parker
- Keenan Allen
- Randall Cobb/T.Y. Hilton
Tight Ends
- Zach Ertz
- Martellus Bennett
- Austin Sefarian-Jenkins
- Jason Witten
- Delanie Walker
Defenses/Special Teams
- Pittsburgh
- Cincinnati
- Eagles
- Lions
- Cardinals
Top Stacks
- Aaron Rodgers/Jordy Nelson/Randall Cobb
- Dak Prescott/Dez Bryant
- Jacoby Brissett/T.Y. HIlton
- Le’Veon Bell/Pittsburgh DS
- Melvin Gordon/Keenan Allen
Top Narratives
- Miami Dolphins first home game of 2017…in Week 5
- Pierre Garcon returns to Indianapolis
- Devin Funchess returns to Detroit
- Josh McCown returns to Cleveland
- Big Ben and Steelers at home
- Antonio Brown squeaky wheel
- Melvin Gordon squeaky wheel
- Cardinals traveling West to East
- Chargers traveling further West to East
- Both Chargers and Giants are 0-4
Josh McCown – $4,500 – NY Jets – $4,500
Analysis: McCown is from my neck of the woods in Texas and he’s been around the NFL for a long time. You might remember him getting clobbered in the clip above, but now the roles are reversed. McCown is with the Jets and is taking on his former team this week. The Browns have been the worst pass defense in all of football, surrendering fantasy points left and right. They have allowed at least 21 real life points in every game this season, and against quarterbacks, they have allowed passing TDs of 2, 2, 1 and 4 through the first four games. McCown has a bevy of capable pass catchers and gets to face his old team as well. Like I said, you may see it as off-the-board, but I see it as an easy punt play, even in cash games.
Melvin Gordon – RB – San Diego Chargers – $6,000
Analysis: This is a very interesting spot for Melvin. His price has come way down, he’s seen barely any carries and touches the past few weeks, voiced his concerns for lack of touches and gets to face a run defense that has been weak in stopping the run. I don’t ever like Melvin Gordon because I feel like he’s not that good of an RB and he is capable of doing Melvin Gordon type things (like the past two weeks). The Giants have allowed 142 yards rushing per game and are not the defense we thought they would be this season. I like this game overall and it has sneaky shootout potential.
Christian McCaffrey – RB – Carolina Panthers – $5,700
Analysis: I have a lot of love for McCaffrey this season and some of it might be more than I need to through 4 weeks. I am literally chasing touchdown regression with CMC, but he has the upside to post a really big game even without a score. Le’Veon, Gurley and Zeke are the obvious RB plays to pay up for this week so it’s trying to find value at RB that will be important. I love this matchup for CMC because the Lions’ corners will take away Kelvin Benjamin, there’s no Greg Olsen and the Panthers are on the road. CMC was neutralized by Belichick’s scheming last week, but now he should be good to go against the Lions who have been getting eaten up by pass backs this season. Dalvin Cook was on his way to a hell of a game last week before his injury and before that, the Lions were gashed by the Falcons. Oh and this is a turf game for CMC.
DeVante Parker – WR – Miami Dolphins – $6,600
Analysis: Big Note to this recommendation: IF the winds are going to be a factor, rain as well, then I am way off Parker. He’s one of my favorite plays of the week except if Mother Nature rears her ugly head. Last week, we saw DeAndre Hopkins torch this Titans secondary and Cutler is a guy who likes to throw the ball and chick it down field. Parker is the guy that stretches the field for the Dolphins. Against opposing passing attack this season, the Titans are allowing 274 yards passing per game and the defense, through 4 games, has allowed 31 points per game. Cutler was indifferent about playing football last week and I could see this being a spot that Cutler would light up the world.
Dez Bryant – WR – Dallas Cowboys – $6,500
Analysis: Dez didn’t quite get there for us last week, but that was his easiest matchup of the season. Now he gets an even easier set up in what looks to be the potential highest scoring game of the week and he’s the same exact price. I will be locking in Dez 99.9% of all of my lineups. Against this Packers secondary, Dez should feast as long as he and Dak get on the same page. In three career games against the Packers, which have come within Mike McCarthy’s tenure, he has 33 targets with 21 catches, 248 yards and 2 TDs. Against the Packers in the playoff game last season, he had 9 of those catches on 12 of those targets for 132 yards and 2 TDs. Don’t think he can do it again at home on Sunday?
