Entries by Brad Richter

NFL Offensive Tendencies – Week 16

For a week where there are 11 divisional games and only three games with a favorite of a touchdown or more, there were still quite a few increased opportunities that presented themselves this week. Week 16 is spread out over four different days during the Christmas season including the main slate taking place on Christmas Eve (Saturday). I also stumbled across a game that has sneaky shootout potential in about the last place you would think to look.

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So let’s get right to the numbers and analysis…

New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles

Projected Plays Pass Pass% Pass Yards Pass TD Run Run% Rush Yards Rush TD Score
New York Giants 61 37 60.7% 267 1.9 24 39.3% 97 0.6 21.0
Philadelphia Eagles 69 42 60.9% 253 0.9 27 39.1% 108 0.9 19.5

Look for the Giants to execute their typical play distribution on the road in Philadelphia this week. The passing game will be slightly more productive than usual with an increase in yardage and their opportunity for two touchdown passes. The running game will also find some success with an increase in yardage and an improved chance for a rushing score. The Giants pass 59% of the time in the red zone.

The Eagles will also execute their typical play distribution against the division rival Giants this week. The passing game will produce their typical yardage and chance for one touchdown pass. The running game will fall short of their typical yardage with a reduced chance for a rushing score. The Eagles pass 55% of the time in the red zone.

Increased Opportunities:

  • Eli Manning and the Giants passing game (Odell Beckham) (+)
  • Giants running game (+) – Hard to recommend either back (Rashad Jennings or Paul Perkins) with them splitting carries
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December 22 by

NBA – Industry Expert Consensus – December 21st

Wednesday is shaping up as an interesting night of NBA action with eight games on the slate with seven teams playing the second game of a back-to-back (Pelicans, Cavaliers, Bucks, Grizzlies, Rockets, Jazz and Blazers). The slate also features a lot of potentially close games with seven points as the biggest Vegas spread tonight.

The numbers in the parenthesis are the number of experts that picked that player to give you more context as to the gaps between players and the tiers. Also listed projected ownership percentages for Cash and GPP leagues to help determine which players will be the chalk and which players could be a good low owned contrarian play.

Be sure to sign up for our Premium Content to get the NBA Industry Consensus picks on Wednesday and Friday.

Here are the Industry Consensus picks for tonight…

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December 21 by

NBA – Weighted Consensus – December 21

Welcome to the Weighted Consensus for the NBA where we publish a more in-depth version of the NBA Consensus rankings every day that takes into account each expert’s current DailyOverlay score to generate a Weighted Consensus ranking.

To calculate the Weighted Rank Score, each expert’s DailyOverlay score is weighted on a sliding scale from 1 to 5 with the top expert in the current standings being weighted with a five while the last place expert is weighted with a one. If you have ever wondered how to differentiate between two players who were both selected by the same number of experts, then this is the list you need. We also list the projected Ownership Percentages for Cash and GPP leagues to help you identify some players that could be good low-owned contrarian plays. We will include all players that are selected by at least two.

Be sure to sign up for our Premium Content to find out which high-priced Stud sits atop the experts’ list for Wednesday.

Here is the NBA Weighted Consensus list for December 21:

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December 21 by

NFL – Ownership Percentage Results – Week 15

Week 15 is in the books and the ownership percentages have stabilized. For the most part, the more often a player is recommended by the DFS experts we track the higher the ownership percentage, especially in Cash leagues. At quarterback, the biggest jumps occur when a QB is recommended by at least nine experts and […]

December 21 by

NBA – Weighted Consensus – December 20

Welcome to the Weighted Consensus for the NBA where we publish a more in-depth version of the NBA Consensus rankings every day that takes into account each expert’s current DailyOverlay score to generate a Weighted Consensus ranking.

To calculate the Weighted Rank Score, each expert’s DailyOverlay score is weighted on a sliding scale from 1 to 5 with the top expert in the current standings being weighted with a five while the last place expert is weighted with a one. If you have ever wondered how to differentiate between two players who were both selected by the same number of experts, then this is the list you need. We also list the projected Ownership Percentages for Cash and GPP leagues to help you identify some players that could be good low-owned contrarian plays. We will include all players that are selected by at least two.

Be sure to sign up for our Premium Content to find out who the top experts like on Tuesday’s big 11-game slate.

Here is the NBA Weighted Consensus list for December 20:

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December 20 by

NFL – Expert Recap & Grades – Week 15

And down the stretch they come! With only two weeks remaining three sites are making a strong push up the leaderboard with FantasyTeamAdvice, DailyFantasySportsRankings and DailyFantasyCafe all finishing in the top three spots for the second straight week led by DailyFantasySportsRankings coming in first place for two weeks in a row. We also have a […]

December 20 by

NBA – Industry Expert Consensus – December 19

Monday night features a small five-game slate. As is usually the case when we have a small slate, the Consensus list is large with all the experts loading up on the same players with so few to choose from. Popular teams to target tonight include the Timberwolves and Wizards who both have three players in […]

December 19 by

NBA – Weighted Consensus – December 19

Welcome to the Weighted Consensus for the NBA where we publish a more in-depth version of the NBA Consensus rankings every day that takes into account each expert’s current DailyOverlay score to generate a Weighted Consensus ranking.

To calculate the Weighted Rank Score, each expert’s DailyOverlay score is weighted on a sliding scale from 1 to 5 with the top expert in the current standings being weighted with a five while the last place expert is weighted with a one. If you have ever wondered how to differentiate between two players who were both selected by the same number of experts, then this is the list you need. We also list the projected Ownership Percentages for Cash and GPP leagues to help you identify some players that could be good low-owned contrarian plays. We will include all players that are selected by at least two.

With a short slate of just five games on Monday, be sure to sign up for our Premium Content to find out who the top experts like.

Here is the NBA Weighted Consensus list for December 19:

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December 19 by

NBA – Expert Recap & Grades – Week 8

This past week was owned by the Lineup Optimizers with RotoGrinders Lineup Builder, DailyFantasyNerd and Sportsline all finishing in the top two spots multiple times this week. If you are not checking out these optimized lineups as part of your process you should consider it as they are all performing well especially has we have […]

December 19 by

NFL – Weighted Expert Consensus – Week 15

Here is the NFL Weighted Consensus rankings for Week 15. In this series, we will publish a more in-depth version of the NFL Consensus rankings every week that takes into account each expert’s current DailyOverlay score to generate a Weighted Consensus ranking for each position.

To calculate the Weighted Rank Score, each expert’s DailyOverlay score is weighted on a sliding scale from 1 to 5 with the top expert in the current standings being weighted with a five while the last place expert is weighted with a one. If you have ever wondered how to differentiate between two players who were both selected by the same number of experts, then this is the list you need. We also list the projected Ownership Percentages for Cash and GPP leagues to help you identify some players that could be good low-owned contrarian plays. We will include all players that are selected by at least two experts.

This article is part of our premium content, so be sure to sign up to get this great compact article.

Here is the NFL Weighted Consensus list for Week 15:

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December 17 by

NFL Offensive Tendencies – Week 15

Week 15 has an odd feel to it between cold weather games, divisional games and an inordinate number of games with a low Vegas total. All of this makes finding increased opportunities difficult and could make this a low scoring week in fantasy. I have a feeling that this week could be all about the running backs and defenses as the passing games have limited upside similar to last week when there was no standout QBs or WRs performances.

To find out who my Top Plays are for the week be sure to sign up for our Premium membership which includes both NFL and NBA content.

So let’s get right to the numbers and analysis…

Los Angeles Rams @ Seattle Seahawks

Projected Plays Pass Pass% Pass Yards Pass TD Run Run% Rush Yards Rush TD Score
Los Angeles Rams 62 39 62.9% 221 1.0 23 37.1% 74 0.6 12.6
Seattle Seahawks 60 35 58.3% 303 1.8 25 41.7% 139 1.1 22.1

Look for the Rams to pass more often this week as they are expected to be trailing the Seahawks in Seattle. The passing game will produce their typical passing yardage with their normal opportunity for one touchdown pass. The running game will fall just short of their normal rushing yardage with their typical chance for one rushing score. The Rams pass over 58% of the time in the red zone.

The Seahawks project to focus more on the running game this week at home as a big favorite. The passing game will still be effective throwing for more yards than normal with an increased chance for two touchdown passes. The running game will benefit from the extra carries to exceed their typical yardage with an increased likelihood for at least one touchdown run. The Seahawks run the ball over 58% of the time inside the 10 yard line.

Increased Opportunities:

  • Russell Wilson and the Seahawks passing game (Doug Baldwin) (+)
  • Thomas Rawls (++)
  • Seahawks defense (+)
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December 15 by

NBA – Industry Expert Consensus – December 14th

Wednesday night features a big 10-game slate that has lost a little bit of its “star power” with everyone and their (DeMarcus) Cousins taking the day off for “rest”. There is also a wide gap between Vegas totals tonight with four games under 200 and one game (Nets/Lakers) around 230. Be sure to watch for any more late-scratches before lineup lock.

The numbers in the parenthesis are the number of experts that picked that player to give you more context as to the gaps between players and the tiers. Also listed projected ownership percentages for Cash and GPP leagues to help determine which players will be the chalk and which players could be a good low owned contrarian play.

Here are the Industry Consensus picks for tonight…

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December 14 by