Entries by Brad Richter

NBA – Weighted Consensus – January 13

Welcome to the Weighted Consensus for the NBA where we publish a more in-depth version of the NBA Consensus rankings every day that takes into account each expert’s current DailyOverlay score to generate a Weighted Consensus ranking.

To calculate the Weighted Rank Score, each expert’s DailyOverlay score is weighted on a sliding scale from 1 to 5 with the top expert in the current standings being weighted with a five while the last place expert is weighted with a one. If you have ever wondered how to differentiate between two players who were both selected by the same number of experts, then this is the list you need. We also list the projected Ownership Percentages for Cash and GPP leagues to help you identify some players that could be good low-owned contrarian plays. We will include all players that are selected by at least two.

Be sure to sign up for our Premium Content to find out which high-priced Stud and Value options sit atop the expert’s list for Thursday.

Here is the NBA Weighted Consensus list for January 13:

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January 13 by

NFL Offensive Tendencies – Divisional Round

Time for the final Offensive Tendencies article for the NFL season. It has been a fun season with some great calls and of course some misses but I hope you have enjoyed reading the column as much as I have enjoyed writing it. So, for this weekend’s Divisional round I will once again be utilizing the “Hot Sheet” style including some analysis of each game that I used last week.

Also, when it comes to a small slate of games you need something to differentiate your lineup from the masses, especially in a GPP. So I have also added a “Gut Call” for each team this week. You will notice that most of these are centered on touchdowns, as I also feel that who scores the touchdowns has increased importance in a small slate of games.

Here is a snippet to better explain where the numbers come from for each position.

The charts below show the rating for each position per team based on each team’s own offensive performance and their opponent’s defensive performance for a variety of factors over the season and last five weeks:

  • Vegas line and total
  • Team pace (plays)
  • Overall play distribution
  • Red Zone and Inside 10 play distribution
  • Yards per attempt (passing, receiving, rushing)
  • TD per attempt (passing, receiving, rushing)
  • DVOA ratings from FootballOutsiders
  • Sacks, turnovers and defensive touchdowns

All of these stats and rankings are compiled, weighted and averaged to come up with a single “rating” for each team by position for this week. Numbers in red are “hot” indicating a good matchup and potential “increased opportunity” for this week.

As always, I will give my Top Plays for the week at the bottom of the article. So let’s get right to the numbers and analysis…

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January 13 by

NBA – Industry Expert Consensus – January 12th

Welcome to a special free Thursday edition of the NBA Industry Consensus for tonight’s five-game slate of NBA action. All five games have a Vegas total over 206 but two feature big favorites (Spurs/Warriors) which could limit the minutes for their superstars. With a shorter slate, the Consensus list is top heavy so I will […]

January 12 by

NBA – Weighted Consensus – January 12

Welcome to the Weighted Consensus for the NBA where we publish a more in-depth version of the NBA Consensus rankings every day that takes into account each expert’s current DailyOverlay score to generate a Weighted Consensus ranking.

To calculate the Weighted Rank Score, each expert’s DailyOverlay score is weighted on a sliding scale from 1 to 5 with the top expert in the current standings being weighted with a five while the last place expert is weighted with a one. If you have ever wondered how to differentiate between two players who were both selected by the same number of experts, then this is the list you need. We also list the projected Ownership Percentages for Cash and GPP leagues to help you identify some players that could be good low-owned contrarian plays. We will include all players that are selected by at least two.

Be sure to sign up for our Premium Content to find out which high-priced Stud and Value options sit atop the expert’s list for Thursday.

Here is the NBA Weighted Consensus list for January 12:

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January 12 by

NBA – Industry Expert Consensus – January 11th

Wednesday night features a smaller six-game slate of NBA action including five teams playing in the second game of a back-to-back (Wizards, Celtics, Rockets, Cavaliers, Trail Blazers). Looking at the Vegas lines for the night there is only one game with a double-digit favorite (Clippers over Magic) and all six games have a Vegas total of at least 203. Not a lot of cheap value options on the Consensus list tonight which could make fitting in the high-priced studs more difficult.

NOTE: Reminder that we will have a special free Thursday edition of the NBA Industry Expert Consensus this week.

The numbers in the parenthesis are the number of experts that picked that player to give you more context as to the gaps between players and the tiers. Also listed are projected ownership percentages for Cash and GPP leagues to help determine which players will be the chalk and which players could be a good low owned contrarian play.

Here are the Industry Consensus picks for tonight…

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January 11 by

NBA – Weighted Consensus – January 11

Welcome to the Weighted Consensus for the NBA where we publish a more in-depth version of the NBA Consensus rankings every day that takes into account each expert’s current DailyOverlay score to generate a Weighted Consensus ranking.

To calculate the Weighted Rank Score, each expert’s DailyOverlay score is weighted on a sliding scale from 1 to 5 with the top expert in the current standings being weighted with a five while the last place expert is weighted with a one. If you have ever wondered how to differentiate between two players who were both selected by the same number of experts, then this is the list you need. We also list the projected Ownership Percentages for Cash and GPP leagues to help you identify some players that could be good low-owned contrarian plays. We will include all players that are selected by at least two.

Be sure to sign up for our Premium Content to find out which high-priced Stud and Value options sit atop the expert’s list for Wednesday.

Here is the NBA Weighted Consensus list for January 11:

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January 11 by

NBA – Weighted Consensus – January 10

Welcome to the Weighted Consensus for the NBA where we publish a more in-depth version of the NBA Consensus rankings every day that takes into account each expert’s current DailyOverlay score to generate a Weighted Consensus ranking.

To calculate the Weighted Rank Score, each expert’s DailyOverlay score is weighted on a sliding scale from 1 to 5 with the top expert in the current standings being weighted with a five while the last place expert is weighted with a one. If you have ever wondered how to differentiate between two players who were both selected by the same number of experts, then this is the list you need. We also list the projected Ownership Percentages for Cash and GPP leagues to help you identify some players that could be good low-owned contrarian plays. We will include all players that are selected by at least two.

Be sure to sign up for our Premium Content to find out which high-priced Stud and Value options sit atop the expert’s list for Tuesday.

Here is the NBA Weighted Consensus list for January 10:

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January 10 by

NBA – Expert Recap & Grades – Week 11

Some of the top experts this past week included FantasyTeamAdvice, FantasyAlarm and CBS Sportsline, who all finished in the top 2 multiple times. The Overall Standings are the same in the top four spots but had the RotoGrinders Consensus move back into fifth place. Meanwhile, it was a good week for the DailyOverlay Industry Consensus […]

January 9 by

NBA – Weighted Consensus – January 6

Welcome to the Weighted Consensus for the NBA where we publish a more in-depth version of the NBA Consensus rankings every day that takes into account each expert’s current DailyOverlay score to generate a Weighted Consensus ranking.

To calculate the Weighted Rank Score, each expert’s DailyOverlay score is weighted on a sliding scale from 1 to 5 with the top expert in the current standings being weighted with a five while the last place expert is weighted with a one. If you have ever wondered how to differentiate between two players who were both selected by the same number of experts, then this is the list you need. We also list the projected Ownership Percentages for Cash and GPP leagues to help you identify some players that could be good low-owned contrarian plays. We will include all players that are selected by at least two.

Be sure to sign up for our Premium Content to find out which high-priced Stud and Value options sits atop the expert’s list for Friday.

Here is the NBA Weighted Consensus list for January 6:

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January 6 by

NFL Offensive Tendencies – Wild Card Weekend

Time for the Playoff Edition of the Offensive Tendencies article. With only four games in the Wild Card round, the gaps to find increased opportunities is very limited. So, I will once again be utilizing the “Hot Sheet” style that I used in Week 17, including some analysis of each game.

Also, when it comes to a small slate of games you need something to differentiate your lineup from the masses, especially in a GPP. So I have also added a “Gut Call” for each team this week. You will notice that most of these are centered on touchdowns, as I also feel that who scores the touchdowns has increased importance in a small slate of games.

The charts below show the rating for each position per team based on each team’s own offensive performance and their opponent’s defensive performance for a variety of factors over the season and last five weeks:

  • Vegas line and total
  • Team pace (plays)
  • Overall play distribution
  • Red Zone and Inside 10 play distribution
  • Yards per attempt (passing, receiving, rushing)
  • TD per attempt (passing, receiving, rushing)
  • DVOA ratings from FootballOutsiders
  • Sacks, turnovers and defensive touchdowns

All of these stats and rankings are compiled, weighted and averaged to come up with a single “rating” for each team by position for this week. Numbers in red are “hot” indicating a good matchup and potential “increased opportunity” for this week.

As always, I will give my Top Plays for the week at the bottom of the article. So let’s get right to the numbers and analysis…

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January 6 by

NBA – Industry Expert Consensus – January 4th

Wednesday night features a seven-game slate of NBA action. Vegas is expecting a lot of close games with five games coming in with a spread of five or less. Meanwhile, only the Blazers/Warriors game has a Vegas total higher than 212. The experts seem to be zeroed in on who to play tonight with three players recommended by at least 11 experts.

The numbers in the parenthesis are the number of experts that picked that player to give you more context as to the gaps between players and the tiers. Also listed projected ownership percentages for Cash and GPP leagues to help determine which players will be the chalk and which players could be a good low owned contrarian play.

Be sure to sign up for our Premium Content to get the NBA Consensus picks for Wednesday along with other great content here at DailyOverlay.

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January 4 by

NBA – Weighted Consensus – January 4

Welcome to the Weighted Consensus for the NBA where we publish a more in-depth version of the NBA Consensus rankings every day that takes into account each expert’s current DailyOverlay score to generate a Weighted Consensus ranking.

To calculate the Weighted Rank Score, each expert’s DailyOverlay score is weighted on a sliding scale from 1 to 5 with the top expert in the current standings being weighted with a five while the last place expert is weighted with a one. If you have ever wondered how to differentiate between two players who were both selected by the same number of experts, then this is the list you need. We also list the projected Ownership Percentages for Cash and GPP leagues to help you identify some players that could be good low-owned contrarian plays. We will include all players that are selected by at least two.

Be sure to sign up for our Premium Content to find out which high-priced Stud and Value options sits atop the experts list for Wednesday.

Here is the NBA Weighted Consensus list for January 4:

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January 4 by