Entries by Brad Richter

NFL – Expert Recap & Grades – Final (Week 17)

The NFL regular season is in the books. All of the NFL DFS experts have submitted their final exam (Week 17) and the grades have been tabulated and the winner of the 2016 NFL DFS season is… DailyFantasyNerd! DailyFantasyNerd rode a third place finish in Week 17 to jump from second place in the overall […]

NBA – Expert Recap & Grades – Week 10

We have two weeks’ worth of NBA DFS grading data updated following a week off for the holidays. I will not go into detail for the week before Christmas but the top experts during the week were RotoGrinders NBA Grind Down, FantasyTeamAdvice, FantasyLabs and Rotowire. The data from the week after Christmas is below and […]

NBA – Weighted Consensus – January 3

Welcome to the Weighted Consensus for the NBA where we publish a more in-depth version of the NBA Consensus rankings every day that takes into account each expert’s current DailyOverlay score to generate a Weighted Consensus ranking.

To calculate the Weighted Rank Score, each expert’s DailyOverlay score is weighted on a sliding scale from 1 to 5 with the top expert in the current standings being weighted with a five while the last place expert is weighted with a one. If you have ever wondered how to differentiate between two players who were both selected by the same number of experts, then this is the list you need. We also list the projected Ownership Percentages for Cash and GPP leagues to help you identify some players that could be good low-owned contrarian plays. We will include all players that are selected by at least two.

Be sure to sign up for our Premium Content to find out which high-priced Stud and Value options sits atop the expert’s list for Tuesday.

Here is the NBA Weighted Consensus list for January 3:

You need to be logged in to view the rest of the content. Please . Not a Member? Join Us

NBA – Weighted Consensus – January 2

Welcome to the Weighted Consensus for the NBA where we publish a more in-depth version of the NBA Consensus rankings every day that takes into account each expert’s current DailyOverlay score to generate a Weighted Consensus ranking.

To calculate the Weighted Rank Score, each expert’s DailyOverlay score is weighted on a sliding scale from 1 to 5 with the top expert in the current standings being weighted with a five while the last place expert is weighted with a one. If you have ever wondered how to differentiate between two players who were both selected by the same number of experts, then this is the list you need. We also list the projected Ownership Percentages for Cash and GPP leagues to help you identify some players that could be good low-owned contrarian plays. We will include all players that are selected by at least two.

Be sure to sign up for our Premium Content to find out which high-priced Stud and Value options sits atop the experts list for Friday.

Here is the NBA Weighted Consensus list for January 2:

You need to be logged in to view the rest of the content. Please . Not a Member? Join Us

NBA – Industry Expert Consensus – January 2

Happy New Year everyone! The first Monday of 2017 features an eight-game slate of NBA action. It could be a high-scoring night in the NBA with all eight games featuring a Vegas total of 202 including two games (Wizards/Rockets and Nuggets/Warriors) with a game total around 230 points. Yet it is the Utah Jazz players […]

NFL – Weighted Expert Consensus – Week 17

Here is the NFL Weighted Consensus rankings for Week 17. In this series, we will publish a more in-depth version of the NFL Consensus rankings every week that takes into account each expert’s current DailyOverlay score to generate a Weighted Consensus ranking for each position.

To calculate the Weighted Rank Score, each expert’s DailyOverlay score is weighted on a sliding scale from 1 to 5 with the top expert in the current standings being weighted with a five while the last place expert is weighted with a one. If you have ever wondered how to differentiate between two players who were both selected by the same number of experts, then this is the list you need. We also list the projected Ownership Percentages for Cash and GPP leagues to help you identify some players that could be good low-owned contrarian plays. We will include all players that are selected by at least two experts.

This article is part of our premium content, so be sure to sign up to get this great compact article.

Here is the NFL Weighted Consensus list for Week 17:

You need to be logged in to view the rest of the content. Please . Not a Member? Join Us

NFL Offensive Tendencies – Week 17

Week 17! Hard to believe it is already the last week of the NFL regular season. While Week 17 in season long fantasy leagues is an absolute “no-no” in my book, it is one of my favorite weeks of the NFL season for DFS. It is the most unpredictable week of the season, including Week 1, due to all of the different circumstances that you need to evaluate depending on what teams have to play for. I feel it is the week that actually requires the most skill to navigate the entire season.

So with that, I am going with a different format to the Offensive Tendencies article this week that is similar to the “Hot Sheet” style that I used during Thanksgiving week. Only this time, I will spend a little bit of time analyzing each game. Here is a snippet from the Thanksgiving article to better explain where the numbers come from for each position.

The charts below show the rating for each position per team based on each team’s own offensive performance and their opponent’s defensive performance for a variety of factors over the season and last five weeks:

  • Vegas line and total
  • Team pace (plays)
  • Overall play distribution
  • Red Zone and Inside 10 play distribution
  • Yards per attempt (passing, receiving, rushing)
  • TD per attempt (passing, receiving, rushing)
  • DVOA ratings from FootballOutsiders
  • Sacks, turnovers and defensive touchdowns

All of these stats and rankings are compiled, weighted and averaged to come up with a single “rating” for each team by position for this week. Numbers in red are “hot” indicating a good matchup and potential “increased opportunity” for this week.

As always, I will give my Top Plays for the week at the bottom of the article. So let’s get right to the numbers and analysis…

Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans

Team QB RB WR1 WR2 WR3 TE D K Vegas
Houston Texans 44 38 34 70 40 46 43 50 40.5
Tennessee Titans 40 53 53 22 48 35 50 35 -3

The Texans have clinched the AFC South division and locked into the fourth seed. That said, look for the Texans to play most of their starters throughout the game as long as they are healthy and the game is close. The running game will likely be led by Alfred Blue, with Lamar Miller nursing an injury, but will struggle against a solid Titans rush defense. The passing game will have some success in particular with yardage. The best receiving options in the passing game will be Jonathan Grimes out of the backfield and Will Fuller.

The Titans have been eliminated from the playoffs. The passing game will have Matt Cassel at QB, following the injury to Marcus Mariota last week. With Cassel under center against a solid Texans’ defense, the Titans passing game will struggle to move the ball through the air with the best receiving option coming from DeMarco Murray on check down passes. The running game will have some success but look for a split workload between Murray and Derrick Henry in a game that doesn’t carry any meaning for the Titans.

Increased Opportunities:

  • Will Fuller (+)
You need to be logged in to view the rest of the content. Please . Not a Member? Join Us

NBA – Weighted Consensus – December 30

Welcome to the Weighted Consensus for the NBA where we publish a more in-depth version of the NBA Consensus rankings every day that takes into account each expert’s current DailyOverlay score to generate a Weighted Consensus ranking.

To calculate the Weighted Rank Score, each expert’s DailyOverlay score is weighted on a sliding scale from 1 to 5 with the top expert in the current standings being weighted with a five while the last place expert is weighted with a one. If you have ever wondered how to differentiate between two players who were both selected by the same number of experts, then this is the list you need. We also list the projected Ownership Percentages for Cash and GPP leagues to help you identify some players that could be good low-owned contrarian plays. We will include all players that are selected by at least two.

Be sure to sign up for our Premium Content to find out which high-priced Stud and Value options sits atop the expert’s list for Friday.

Here is the NBA Weighted Consensus list for December 30:

You need to be logged in to view the rest of the content. Please . Not a Member? Join Us

NBA – Industry Expert Consensus – December 30th

Friday night features a nine-game main slate of NBA action. The slate features some big point spread with six teams favored by at least seven points with all of the game coming in with a Vegas total over 200 points. Playing time could be a concern for some studs making some of the mid-tier options projected to be in close games intriguing options.

The numbers in the parenthesis are the number of experts that picked that player to give you more context as to the gaps between players and the tiers. Also listed projected ownership percentages for Cash and GPP leagues to help determine which players will be the chalk and which players could be a good low owned contrarian play.

Here are the Industry Consensus picks for tonight…

You need to be logged in to view the rest of the content. Please . Not a Member? Join Us

NFL – Expert Recap & Grades – Week 16

Only one week left and the Overall Standings are tight with the potential for some movement up and down the standings. FantasyTeamAdvice had a down week in Week 16 which could cost them the top spot if they have another one. Meanwhile, DailyFantasyNerd, DailyFantasySportsRankings and DailyFantasyCafe are also in striking range. It should be a […]

NFL – Weighted Expert Consensus – Week 16

Here is the NFL Weighted Consensus rankings for Week 15. In this series, we will publish a more in-depth version of the NFL Consensus rankings every week that takes into account each expert’s current DailyOverlay score to generate a Weighted Consensus ranking for each position.

To calculate the Weighted Rank Score, each expert’s DailyOverlay score is weighted on a sliding scale from 1 to 5 with the top expert in the current standings being weighted with a five while the last place expert is weighted with a one. If you have ever wondered how to differentiate between two players who were both selected by the same number of experts, then this is the list you need. We also list the projected Ownership Percentages for Cash and GPP leagues to help you identify some players that could be good low-owned contrarian plays. We will include all players that are selected by at least two experts.

This article is part of our premium content, so be sure to sign up to get this great compact article.

Here is the NFL Weighted Consensus list for Week 16:

You need to be logged in to view the rest of the content. Please . Not a Member? Join Us

NBA – Weighted Consensus – December 23

Welcome to the Weighted Consensus for the NBA where we publish a more in-depth version of the NBA Consensus rankings every day that takes into account each expert’s current DailyOverlay score to generate a Weighted Consensus ranking.

To calculate the Weighted Rank Score, each expert’s DailyOverlay score is weighted on a sliding scale from 1 to 5 with the top expert in the current standings being weighted with a five while the last place expert is weighted with a one. If you have ever wondered how to differentiate between two players who were both selected by the same number of experts, then this is the list you need. We also list the projected Ownership Percentages for Cash and GPP leagues to help you identify some players that could be good low-owned contrarian plays. We will include all players that are selected by at least two.

Be sure to sign up for our Premium Content to find out which high-priced Stud and Value plays sit atop the experts list for Friday.

Here is the NBA Weighted Consensus list for December 23:

You need to be logged in to view the rest of the content. Please . Not a Member? Join Us