Hard to believe we are coming up on the NFL Draft and the end of the first month of the baseball season.
Which means summer is drawing closer, the school year is starting wind down and football season also is that much closer to our lives.
But I’ve said too much about football, it’s still early.
But is it too early to call Christian Yelich the best hitter in baseball or the AL MVP?
He has 13 home runs and we still have more than a week left of April.
Now, ALL of those home runs have come in Miller Park and he has just two RBIs away from Miller, so that begs the question for tonight’s 10-game slate….
Do you play Christian Yelich?
He’s also facing the Cardinals and I can’t tell you (but it’s a lot) how many home runs he has against the Cardinals already this season.
I will likely be fading him again because I just can’t chase once I am behind.
I like to be in front of things as much as possible and I am hopeful to be in front of a certain pitcher tonight, who also will be a big question on everyone’s minds.
But more on that later.
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Secondly, remember that pricing is FanDuel/DraftKings with salary cap percentages following for each, in that same order.
Now, let’s get down to business!
PITCHERS
Chris Sale – vs. Detroit Tigers – $8,400/$8,600 – 24%/26% – 36.8%
Analysis: Somehow we are the point with Chris Sale where he have to question whether we play him or not. He’s 0-4 with an 8.50 ERA with a 14:5 K/BB ratio. Reports indicate his velocity was reaching normal capacity in his last start, so perhaps things are finally starting to click for Chris Sale, who I am sure lots of people are selling at this point in the season already. But I’m not, even though he’s striking out RH bats at less than 7 K/9 right now and faces a RH-heavy team in the Detroit Tigers IN Fenway. I mean, if he gets lit up tonight by the team that’s 29th in wOBA against lefties, then I will find it difficult to recommend him for awhile, even if his price does get cheaper and cheaper. I figure if he does, a stint on the IL is far more likely than his price dipping to under $8K.
Chris Bassitt – vs. Texas Rangers – $6,000/$6,800 – 17.1%/23.2% – 33.2%
Analysis: The Rangers roughed up the Astros this weekend and are surging right now. But they get away from home turf and move into a big pitcher’s park. The Rangers are 4th in wOBA against RH pitching this season, but are also striking out at a 24% clip. Bassitt is making his first start of the season, but he limited a lot of damage in his appearances over the years, as lefties had a .263 wOBA and righties a .300 wOBA against him in 2018 while he struck out lefties at an 8.49 K/9 and righties at a 7.03 K/9. He’s certainly a punt play that could get you a QS and a win with 5 or 6 Ks and smash value.
HITTERS
Ryan Zimmerman – 1B – Washington Nationals – $3,400/$4,300 – 9.7%/8.6%
Analysis: Out of all the Coors bats on the slate, Zimmerman’s is the one that sticks out against lefty Tyler Anderson, who is allegedly coming off of the IL to pitch Monday’s game. Against lefties this season, Zimmerman owns a .387 wOBA in limited ABs while Anderson, in limited action himself, is allowing a .402 wOBA with a 0.00 HR/9 rate this season to righties. Having to pitch in Coors isn’t going to help those numbers I don’t believe.
