The leaderboard remains the same again this week as we start to near the All-Star break. While our Lineup Construction experiment had its best week so far as it fell just short of being a profitable week. We will have picks on Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday this week before we all take a break for the All-Star game.
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks did, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one or two experts, but produced an “A+” grade. I will also review the overall standings, highlighting the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here. And finally, I will publish results of our new Lineup Construction initiative.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles and NBA Consensus Lineup Construction articles each Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, and Friday during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the consensus picks and sample lineups for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
Monday (Feb 1)
Monday night consisted of a solid 9 game slate of NBA action. The experts had a good night with four experts plus the Industry Consensus picks receiving a DailyOverlay score greater than 5.0.
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus picks performed great finishing 2nd out of 12 experts graded with a strong DailyOverlay score of 5.72 for the day.
A+ – Myles Turner, Russell Westbrook, Nikola Jokic, Jeff Teague, Andre Drummond, Rudy Gay, Aaron Gordon, Jeff Green, Dion Waiters, LeBron James
F – Kyle Lowry
Top Experts of the Day
#1) RotoGrinders 6-pack (Score: 7.17) blew away the competition with four out of six selection receiving an “A+” grade including Myles Turner, Nikola Jokic, Aaron Gordon and Russell Westbrook.
#2) DailyOverlay – Industry Consensus (Score: 5.72) came in second place with 15 out of 25 selections receiving a grade of “A” or better. The “A” selections were Kevin Durant, Anthony Davis, Kyrie Irving, Brook Lopez and Jabari Parker.
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – George Hill (DailyRoto)
A+ – Jordan Hill (RotoGrinders NBA Grind Down, Fansided)
A+ – Kyle Anderson (RotoGrinders Expert Tourney Picks, FanSided)
A+ – Gordon Hayward (FantasyAlarm, FanSided)
A+ – Norris Cole (FantasyTeamAdvice, FanSided)
A+ – Greg Monroe (FanSided)
Tuesday (Feb 2)
Tuesday night consisted of a small 5-game slate of NBA action. The experts had one of their worst nights of the season with only two experts receiving a DailyOverlay score higher than 3.0.
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus picks finished in the middle of the pack in 5th out of 11 experts graded with a low DailyOverlay score of 2.61 for the day.
A+ – James Harden
F – Jabari Parker, Marcus Smart
Top Experts of the Day
#1) RotoGrinders Expert Tourney Picks (Score: 3.11) produced the highest score on the night with four out of nine selections receiving a grade of “B” or better. Key selections included James Harden, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kyle Lowry and Carmelo Anthony.
#2) DailyRoto (Score: 3.00) finished second on Tuesday with seven grades of “B” or better out of 14 selections. James Harden, Kyle Lowry, and Andrew Wiggins were the best selections made by DailyRoto.
Sleepers of the Day
Slow night for sleepers and nobody had Markieff Morris
A+ – Robin Lopez (FanSided)
A – Evan Turner (FantasyAlarm, FanSided)
Wednesday (Feb 3)
Wednesday night featured a big 11 game slate. The experts rebounded nicely from a rough night on Tuesday to post solid scores on Wednesday including four experts receiving a DailyOverlay score above 5.0.
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus picks were in the upper half of the standings on Wednesday finishing in 5th place out of 12 experts graded with a solid DailyOverlay score of 4.57.
A+ – Russell Westbrook, Jeremy Lin, Victor Oladipo, LaMarcus Aldridge, John Wall, Evan Turner, Stephen Curry, Kevin Durant, DeMarcus Cousins
F – Jordan Hill, Brook Lopez, Robert Covington, Aaron Gordon
Top Experts of the Day
#1) RotoGrinders Expert Tourney Picks (Score: 5.75) finished in the top spot for the second day in a row with nine grades of “B” or better out of 12 selections. They were led by consensus plays such as Jeremy Lin, John Wall, Victor Oladipo and LaMarcus Aldridge.
#2) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 5.70) finished in a close second place on the day with five “A+” grades out of their 10 selections. They had a couple consensus plays such as Stephen Curry and Evan Turner to go along with a few off the radar picks of Derrick Rose, E’Twaun Moore, and Wesley Johnson.
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Andrew Wiggins (DailyFantasySportsRankings, FanSided)
A+ – Draymond Green (DailyRoto, FanSided)
A+ – Derrick Rose (FantasyTeamAdvice)
A+ – E’Twaun Moore (FantasyTeamAdvice)
A+ – Wesley Johnson (FantasyTeamAdvice)
A+ – Jamal Crawford (FanSided)
A+ – Tyler Zeller (FanSided)
Friday (Feb 5)
Friday night featured a 10-game slate of NBA action. The experts had another solid day with three experts recording a DailyOverlay score greater than 5.0.
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus picks completed a solid week finishing in 6th place out of 13 experts graded with a DailyOverlay score of 4.62.
A+ – Thaddeus Young, John Wall, Derrick Rose, DeMarcus Cousins, LeBron James, Emmanuel Mudiay, Brook Lopez
F – Robert Covington, Kevin Love, Aaron Gordon
Top Experts of the Day
#1) RotoGrinders 6-pack (Score: 5.67) finished in the top spot for the second time this week with five out of six picks receiving a grade of “B” or better. Key selections included Derrick Rose, Paul George, Nikola Jokic, and Derrick Favors.
#2) DFSOnDemand (Score: 5.63) comes in second place on Friday with four “A+” grades out of eight selections. They had a couple consensus plays do well in DeMarcus Cousins and Derrick Rose and also came through with a couple off-the-radar selections of Nicolas Batum and Hassan Whiteside.
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Joe Johnson (RotoGrinders Expert Tourney Picks, FantasyAlarm)
A+ – Hassan Whiteside (Moxyball–MoxyList, DFSOnDemand)
A+ – Evan Turner (FantasyAlarm)
A+ – Nicolas Batum (FantasyTeamAdvice, DFSOnDemand)
A+ – Darren Collison (FanSided)
Overall Leaderboard
We have now completed 15 weeks of the NBA season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) FakePigskin (Score: 4.95) continues to hold onto the top spot in the overall standings this week, but their margin over second and third place is narrowing with a couple finished in the bottom half of the daily standings this week.
#2) RotoGrinders NBA Grind Down (Score: 4.88) remains in second place again this week and is within striking distance of first with top five finishes on Tuesday and Wednesday this week.
#3) DailyRoto (Score: 4.85) also holds on to the third spot in the overall standing again this week and put a little bit of distance back between them and fourth place with their second place finish on Tuesday and a third place finish on Friday.
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus picks (Score: 4.50) had a solid week including a second place finish on Monday followed up by finishes in the top half the rest of the week. For the season, the Consensus picks remain in 6th place in the overall standings out of a total of 14 experts graded this season.
Let’s see which experts can make the grade this week in the NBA!
Consensus Lineup Construction Review
We started a new feature at DailyOverlay a few weeks ago, where writers on our staff utilize the daily Industry Consensus article picks to build a sample DFS lineup for FanDuel and DraftKings. The goal of this experiment is to determine the best way to utilize the Industry Consensus list to build winning lineups.
Here is a list of the “rules” we are starting with when constructing the lineups:
- All players in our lineups come from the names listed in our consensus article, if possible. However, if one of those players is ruled out and we have time to put in that player’s backup or a player around the same salary, we will pivot to that player.
- We must use as many of the “Highly Touted” and “Recommended” players as possible, then fill in the remaining salary with players from the ”Suggested” player list. All of us submitting lineups will have some subjectivity to who we play based on the matchup when we need to fill out the remaining portion of our rosters.
We will have at least 1 DraftKings and 1 FanDuel lineup every night we write the Consensus article and enter them into a Cash (50/50 or Double Up) league and large-field GPP tournament. The results of those lineups will be provided in this section each week.
Weekly Results
FanDuel
| Day | Score | Cash Place | Profit(Loss) | GPP Place | Profit(Loss) | Picks By |
| Monday | 321.2 | 2/100 | $0.80 | 838/40,547 | $4.00 | Stephen |
| Tuesday | 255.0 | 62/100 | ($1.00) | 67,219/117,647 | ($1.00) | Stephen |
| Wednesday | 242.0 | 66/100 | ($1.00) | 87,265/117,647 | ($1.00) | Stephen |
| Friday | 262.3 | 59/100 | ($1.00) | 16,616/117,647 | ($1.00) | Stephen |
| Total | 270.1 (Avg) | ($2.20) | $1.00 |
A solid week by Stephen with his FanDuel lineups. Monday was a great day with a 300+ score and a high finish in the GPP for a nice profit. The rest of the days finished just outside of the money in Cash games including Wednesday’s lineup which was destroyed by Jimmy Butler’s late scratch.
DraftKings
| Day | Score | Cash Place | Profit(Loss) | GPP Place | Profit(Loss) | Picks By |
| Monday | 296.75 | 9/100 | $1.60 | 419/5,750 | $4.00 | Brad |
| Tuesday | 257.75 | 42/100 | $1.60 | 1,527/4,600 | ($2.00) | Matt |
| Wednesday | 237.75 | 68/100 | ($2.00) | 2,318/4,600 | ($2.00) | Brad |
| Friday | 248.25 | 59/100 | ($2.00) | 2,122/4,600 | ($2.00) | Matt |
| Total | 260.1 (avg) | ($0.80) | ($2.00) |
A nice GPP score on Monday and winning lineups in Cash games on both Monday and Tuesday this week followed by lineups on Wednesday and Friday that finished just outside the cash line. Wednesday’s lineup was pivoted from Butler/Dieng to Hood/Towns when the news of a late scratch for Butler was received, but Hood didn’t perform well. Friday’s lineup was hurt by the very poor performance of Robert Covington.
Overall Results
| FanDuel | Cash Entry Fees | Cash Tot Winnings | Cash ROI | GPP Entry Fees | GPP Tot Winnings | GPP ROI | Tot Entry Fees | Tot Winnings | Tot ROI |
| Brad | $8.00 | $7.20 | -10.0% | $8.00 | $6.00 | -25.0% | $16.00 | $13.20 | -17.5% |
| Matt | $6.00 | $3.60 | -40.0% | $6.00 | $4.00 | -33.3% | $12.00 | $7.60 | -36.7% |
| Stephen | $11.00 | $1.80 | -83.6% | $11.00 | $5.00 | -54.5% | $22.00 | $6.80 | -69.1% |
| FD Overall | $25.00 | $12.60 | -49.6% | $25.00 | $15.00 | -40.0% | $50.00 | $27.60 | -44.8% |
| DraftKings | |||||||||
| Brad | $8.00 | $7.20 | -10.0% | $8.00 | $9.66 | 20.8% | $16.00 | $16.86 | 5.4% |
| Matt | $8.00 | $3.60 | -55.0% | $8.00 | $0.00 | -100.0% | $16.00 | $3.60 | -77.5% |
| Stephen | $10.00 | $2.00 | -80.0% | $14.00 | $0.00 | -100.0% | $24.00 | $2.00 | -91.7% |
| DK Overall | $26.00 | $12.80 | -50.8% | $30.00 | $9.66 | -67.8% | $56.00 | $22.46 | -59.9% |
| Overall | $51.00 | $25.40 | -50.2% | $55.00 | $24.66 | -55.2% | $106.00 | $50.06 | -52.8% |
This was the best week so far in our experiment but it was still not quite good enough to be profitable. As you can see there is a strong correlation between how the experts and the Industry Consensus does and how well our lineup does. Monday was a strong day for the experts and the Industry Consensus finished in second place and in turn the lineups we constructed did very well.
We will likely follow the same “rules” again this week leading up to the All-Star break but then we will use the All-Star break to evaluate making some changes to the rules to see if we can find a better method for utilizing the Industry Consensus list.
