Week 7 is the first week with more than two teams on bye as the Packers, Steelers, Seahawks and Raiders get a week off. The DFS landscape for this week is interesting as well with only 10 games on the Sunday main slate while four games with numerous big offenses off the main slate including a game in London on Sunday morning. This leaves the DFS options for the Sunday main slate pretty sparse, especially at RB. Get your game-by-game breakdown of all 14 games and then figure out which slates you might want to get some action in on.
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Note: DVOA referenced in this article stands for Defense-adjusted Value Over Average which is a metric from FootballOutsiders.com.
So, let’s get right to the numbers and analysis…
Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals
| Team | QB | RB | WR1 | WR2 | WR3 | TE | D | Vegas |
| Denver Broncos | 34 | 62 | 22 | 39 | 41 | 36 | 38 | -2 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 33 | 58 | 20 | 52 | 16 | 50 | 59 | 42 |
The Broncos are coming off a road loss to the Rams and will now stay on the road on a short week to face the Cardinals in Arizona. The Broncos passing game hasn’t been able to produce much this season and that probably won’t change on Thursday night against a Cardinals pass defense that has allowed just 1.0 TD passes (2nd) per game this season and ranks 9th DVOA. While TD passes will be hard to come by Case Keenum should still be able to help move the ball through the air between the 20s with WR Emmanuel Sanders working with the best matchup out of the slot. While the Broncos passing game could struggle their running game should flourish against the Cardinals run defense that has allowed 139 rushing yards (30th) and 1.3 rushing TDs (32nd) per game this season. Their 14th DVOA ranking against the run suggests they might not be quiet that bad but it should still be a good night for both Phillip Lindsay and Royce Freeman. Of course, that is also the problem as a split backfield is never good for fantasy, however, in this matchup both could still be worthy options.
The Cardinals fell to 1-5 with their loss in Minnesota last week and will try to get their second win of the year at home against the Broncos on a short week. The Cardinals passing game has been a little bit better with rookie Josh Rosen under center but is still near the bottom in the league in most statistical categories. Meanwhile, the Broncos pass defense has been solid with an 8th DVOA ranking while allowing just 1.5 TD pass (8th) per game this season. Rookie WR Christian Kirk appears to be a favorite target for Rosen as Kirk has put up over 75 receiving yards in three of his last four games. However, much like the Broncos, the Cardinals best bet for success is on the ground with David Johnson. Johnson has had at least 18 carries in each of the last three weeks and he will face a Broncos defense that has been shredded for over 200 yards on the ground in back-to-back weeks. They rank 29th DVOA and dead last in rushing yards allowed with 150 per game to opposing RBs.
Hot Picks:
- Phillip Lindsay (*)
- Royce Freeman (*)
- David Johnson (**)
- Christian Kirk (*)
