A silver lining for Thanksgiving 2017 – the food was great.
Football, DFS, my Dallas Cowboys? Puke.
Hope everyone had a great Thanksgiving and got their fill in food and in the DFS leaderboards. While Thanksgiving’s 3-game slate was the start of Week 12, it feels like it really begins now and those games were just a bonus.
We have 11 games for our second helping of Week 12 and we have a lot to sift through this week. It’s an awesome slate with a lot of top-tier talent in great matchups in the high-price ranges for all positions and value looks to be somewhat scarce.
As always, we have the Week 12 rankings by position. These are based on everything but price with matchups and volume weighed the most.
Quarterbacks
- Tom Brady
- Russell Wilson
- Marcus Mariota
- Cam Newton
- Matt Ryan
- Carson Wentz
Running Backs
- Todd Gurley
- Kareem Hunt
- Mark Ingram
- LeSean McCoy
- Tevin Coleman
Wide Receivers
- Julio Jones
- A.J. Green
- T.Y. Hilton
- Michael Thomas
- Doug Baldwin
Tight Ends
- Rob Gronkowski
- Travis Kelce
- Jared Cook
- Zach Ertz
- Jack Doyle
Defense/Special Teams
- Jacksonville Jaguars
- Cincinnati Bengals
- Seattle Seahawks
- Philadelphia Eagles
- New England Patriots
Don’t forget to follow me at my DailyOverlay Twitter handle: @hotdogdailyDFS.
Have a lot of picks this week! As I said, I like this slate and there are a lot of spots for us to attack. I’ll keep the analyses short since we have so many to get through.
Marcus Mariota – QB – Tennessee Titans – $6,200
Analysis: Brady, Russell Wilson, Carson Wentz, all viable, but the first guy that caught my eye as underpriced and cheap is Mariota, who faces the Colts (8th overall in fantasy points allowed to QBs) indoors. Mariota had 306 and a TD in these two teams first meeting. The Colts have allowed at least 1 TD pass in all games played. The Titans have a new weapon in Corey Davis (more on him later) this time around and Mariota is coming off his worst game of the season. He has rushing upside as well, if he needs to escape.
Todd Gurley – RB – Los Angeles Rams – $8,800
Analysis: Maybe after this week Gurley will start getting pricing treatment a la Le’Veon Bell and David Johnson 2016. No Robert Woods, leaving more workload and target share to Gurley this week against the Saints, a run funnel defense. New Orleans allows 4.7 yards per carry to RBs. They also have allowed more than 80 targets and 60 catches to pass-catching backs for nearly 500 yards and 2 scores. This game has the highest total on the board and the Rams are home favorites. Cash-game lock.
T.Y. Hilton – WR – Indianapolis Colts – $6,700
Analysis: Follow the T.Y. checklist for when to play him: At home? Check. Competent QB throwing to him? Check. Facing a defense that is top-5 in fantasy points allowed to WRs? Check. Does T.Y. receive a huge target share? Check. Facing the Titans at home this week, T.Y. checks all the boxes above.
Tyler Kroft – TE – Cincinnati Bengals – $3,900
Analysis: Loved Kroft last week in a funnel spot. He got his TD, but got hurt. He’s going to be ok and is expected to play this week. TE is pretty bare after Kroft this week on DraftKings. Much like Hilton above, Kroft is a play because he checks some boxes, or really one box. Is Kroft a TE facing the Cleveland Browns? Yes. Kroft is in an offense with limited passing-game options and thus targets are funneled to him. The Browns have allowed 8 TDs to TEs this season.
