Entries by Brad Richter

NBA – Industry Expert Consensus – November 28

A solid seven-game slate of NBA action on Monday including two games with huge favorites in the Raptors and Warriors facing teams on the second game of a back-to-back in the Sixers and Hawks respectively which could lead to reduced minutes by the starters on both sides. The highest Vegas total projected for a close […]

NBA – Expert Recap & Grades – Week 5

A lot of the same NBA DFS experts at the top of the daily and season standings this week, led by CBS Sportsline and FantasyTeamAdvice. The rest of the sites will need to start to make their move as we are now over a month into the season. In this article, I will give a […]

NBA – Weighted Consensus – November 25

Welcome to the Weighted Consensus for the NBA where we publish a more in-depth version of the NBA Consensus rankings every day that takes into account each expert’s current DailyOverlay score to generate a Weighted Consensus ranking.

To calculate the Weighted Rank Score, each expert’s DailyOverlay score is weighted on a sliding scale from 1 to 5 with the top expert in the current standings being weighted with a five while the last place expert is weighted with a one. If you have ever wondered how to differentiate between two players who were both selected by the same number of experts, then this is the list you need. We also list the projected Ownership Percentages for Cash and GPP leagues to help you identify some players that could be good low-owned contrarian plays. We will include all players that are selected by at least two experts.

Be sure to sign up to find out who tops the list on tonight’s slate in this great compact article.

Here is the NBA Weighted Consensus list for November 25:

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NBA – Industry Expert Consensus – November 25

We have another HUGE 14-game slate on Black Friday night. No player blurbs tonight but the experts didn’t disappoint with a ton of options including a nice mix of studs and value options to choose from.

The numbers in the parenthesis are the number of experts that picked that player to give you more context as to the gaps between players and the tiers. Also listed projected ownership percentages for Cash and GPP leagues to help determine which players will be the chalk and which players could be a good low owned contrarian play.

Here are the Industry Consensus picks for tonight…

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NFL Offensive Tendencies – Week 12

Due to time constraints with the Thanksgiving holiday, I am going with a different, abbreviated format for the “Offensive Tendencies” this week. It is a snapshot of a tool I created that I like to call the “Hot Sheet”.

The charts below show the rating for each position per team based on each team’s own offensive performance and their opponent’s defensive performance for a variety of factors over the season and last five weeks:

  • Vegas line and total
  • Team pace (plays)
  • Overall play distribution
  • Red Zone and Inside 10 play distribution
  • Yards per attempt (passing, receiving, rushing)
  • TD per attempt (passing, receiving, rushing)
  • DVOA ratings from FootballOutsiders
  • Sacks, turnovers and defensive touchdowns

All of these stats and rankings are compiled, weighted and averaged to come up with a single “rating” for each team by position for this week. Numbers in red are “hot” indicating a good matchup and potential “increased opportunity” for this week. Numbers in blue are “cold” indicating a bad matchup to look to avoid. My “Top Plays” will focus primarily on recommending “hot” players that should excel this week.

Please feel free to provide feedback in the comments section or hit me up on Twitter @Rotopilot with any feedback on the different format.

Thanksgiving Slate (Thursday only)

thursday

Top Plays

QB

  • Ben Roethlisberger (PIT)
  • Kirk Cousins (WAS)
  • Scott Tolzien (IND) – GPP option

RB

  • Ezekiel Elliott (DAL)
  • Le’Veon Bell (PIT)
  • Frank Gore (IND)
  • Chris Thompson (WAS) – GPP option

WR

  • Antonio Brown (PIT)
  • TY Hilton (IND)
  • Cole Beasley (DAL)
  • Jamison Crowder (WAS)
  • Cobi Hamilton (PIT) – GPP option

TE

  • Jason Witten (DAL)
  • Jordan Reed (WAS)
  • Ladarius Green (PIT) – GPP option

D

  • Steelers (PIT)
  • Lions (DET)

Be sure to sign up for our Premium Content to get a look at the Hot Sheet for the rest of Week 12.

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NBA – Weighted Consensus – November 23

Welcome to the Weighted Consensus for the NBA where we publish a more in-depth version of the NBA Consensus rankings every day that takes into account each expert’s current DailyOverlay score to generate a Weighted Consensus ranking.

To calculate the Weighted Rank Score, each expert’s DailyOverlay score is weighted on a sliding scale from 1 to 5 with the top expert in the current standings being weighted with a five while the last place expert is weighted with a one. If you have ever wondered how to differentiate between two players who were both selected by the same number of experts, then this is the list you need. We also list the projected Ownership Percentages for Cash and GPP leagues to help you identify some players that could be good low-owned contrarian plays. We will include all players that are selected by at least two experts.

Be sure to sign up to find out who tops the list on tonight’s slate in this great compact article.

Here is the NBA Weighted Consensus list for November 23:

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NBA – Industry Expert Consensus – November 23

We have a HUGE 13-game slate on Thanksgiving Eve night. No player blurbs tonight but the experts didn’t disappoint with a ton of options including a nice mix of studs and value options to choose from.

The numbers in the parenthesis are the number of experts that picked that player to give you more context as to the gaps between players and the tiers. Also listed projected ownership percentages for Cash and GPP leagues to help determine which players will be the chalk and which players could be a good low owned contrarian play.

Find out who the experts top “stud” play is on the this huge slate but signing up for our Premium content.

Here are the Industry Consensus picks for tonight…

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NFL – Ownership Percentage Results – Week 11

Week 11 is in the books and the ownership percentages continue to remain pretty static. For the most part, the more often a player is recommended by the DFS experts we track the higher the ownership percentage, especially in Cash leagues. At quarterback, the biggest jumps occur when a QB is recommended by at least […]

NBA – Weighted Consensus – November 22

Welcome to the Weighted Consensus for the NBA where we publish a more in-depth version of the NBA Consensus rankings every day that takes into account each expert’s current DailyOverlay score to generate a Weighted Consensus ranking.

To calculate the Weighted Rank Score, each expert’s DailyOverlay score is weighted on a sliding scale from 1 to 5 with the top expert in the current standings being weighted with a five while the last place expert is weighted with a one. If you have ever wondered how to differentiate between two players who were both selected by the same number of experts, then this is the list you need. We also list the projected Ownership Percentages for Cash and GPP leagues to help you identify some players that could be good low-owned contrarian plays. We will include all players that are selected by at least two experts.

Be sure to sign up to find out who tops the list on tonight’s slate in this great compact article.

Here is the NBA Weighted Consensus list for November 22:

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NFL – Expert Recap & Grades – Week 11

Injuries played a role in Week 11 with numerous players going down during games this week such as AJ Green. Some experts were able to avoid the injury bug and thus bubbled to the top of the Week 11 standings such as GoingFor2, DailyFantasyNerd and ESPN Love/Hate. The overall standings had a few minor shifts […]

NBA – Weighted Consensus – November 21

Welcome to the Weighted Consensus for the NBA where we publish a more in-depth version of the NBA Consensus rankings every day that takes into account each expert’s current DailyOverlay score to generate a Weighted Consensus ranking.

To calculate the Weighted Rank Score, each expert’s DailyOverlay score is weighted on a sliding scale from 1 to 5 with the top expert in the current standings being weighted with a five while the last place expert is weighted with a one. If you have ever wondered how to differentiate between two players who were both selected by the same number of experts, then this is the list you need. We also list the projected Ownership Percentages for Cash and GPP leagues to help you identify some players that could be good low-owned contrarian plays. We will include all players that are selected by at least two experts.

Tonight James Harden is only the sixth-highest ranked player on the list. Be sure to sign up to find out who tops him on tonight’s slate in this great compact article. Here is an example of the content from a previous day.

Here is the NBA Weighted Consensus list for November 21:

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NBA – Industry Expert Consensus – November 21

Two games stand out on Monday night’s nine-game slate with the Suns/Wizards and Warriors/Pacers matchups coming in with the highest Vegas totals by far. There are also a ton of strong value options on the slate with so many teams decimated by injuries. It could be a very “chalky” night. The numbers in the parenthesis […]