Entries by Brad Richter

NFL – Weighted Expert Consensus – Week 10

Here is the NFL Weighted Consensus rankings for Week 10. In this series, we will publish a more in-depth version of the NFL Consensus rankings every week that takes into account each expert’s current DailyOverlay score to generate a Weighted Consensus ranking for each position.

To calculate the Weighted Rank Score, each expert’s DailyOverlay score is weighted on a sliding scale from 1 to 5 with the top expert in the current standings being weighted with a five while the last place expert is weighted with a one. If you have ever wondered how to differentiate between two players who were both selected by the same number of experts, then this is the list you need. We also list the projected Ownership Percentages for Cash and GPP leagues to help you identify some players that could be good low-owned contrarian plays. We will include all players that are selected by at least two experts.

This article is part of our premium content, so be sure to sign up to get this great compact article. Check out the Week 3 article to get a glimpse of the content.

Here is the NFL Weighted Consensus list for Week 10:

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November 12 by

NFL Offensive Tendencies – Week 10

Week 10 should be an interesting week with only three games that have a favorite of more than four points. Due to the tight lines finding significantly increased opportunities was a challenge this week but there are still some matchups that helped propel certain players into a good spot to take advantage including a few “three-plus” selections which we don’t see very often.

So let’s get right to the numbers and analysis…

Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens

Projected Plays Pass Pass% Pass Yards Pass TD Run Run% Rush Yards Rush TD Score
Cleveland Browns 63 41 65.1% 249 1.6 22 34.9% 91 0.7 18.2
Baltimore Ravens 70 45 64.3% 319 2.0 25 35.7% 106 0.9 24.9

Look for the Browns execute their typical play distribution on the road in Baltimore. The passing game will produce their typical yardage with an increased chance for two touchdown passes. The running game will struggle with fewer yards than normal and a decreased chance for a rushing score. The Browns pass over 54% of the time in the red zone.

The Ravens project to run the ball slightly more often than normal as they work with a lead. The passing game will have a significant increase in both passing yardage and their chance for multiple touchdown passes. The running game will also see an increase in production with more rushing yards and an increased chance for a rushing score. The Ravens pass over 56% of the time in the red zone.

 

Increased Opportunities:

  • Joe Flacco and the Ravens passing game (Mike Wallace/Dennis Pitta) (+++)
  • Kenneth Dixon (+) – Gut Call – Dixon outperforms Terrance West
  • Ravens defense (+)
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November 10 by

NBA – Industry Expert Consensus – November 9

Wednesday night feature a huge 11-game slate of NBA games for the DFS experts to try to sort out. With the big slate, the experts are more divided than usual leaving fewer plays near the top of the list and a ton of Suggested plays to consider.

There are quite a few teams playing in the second game of a back-to-back including the Hawks, Timberwolves, Nets, Suns, Trail Blazers and Mavericks so proceed with caution when rostering players from those teams. There should be a lot of points scored tonight with only one game (Jazz/Hornets) coming in with a Vegas total under 202 with the highest total game not featuring the Rockets nor the Warriors but instead the Nets/Knicks battle out east.

As expected the experts are hitting the two highest projected games the most with numerous of the Highly Touted plays coming from those games. The overall list is very deep tonight offering up a lot of contrarian plays and pivots if you want to work your way down the list further.

NOTE: Starting this week the NBA Industry Expert Consensus articles released on Wednesdays (today) and Fridays will become part of the Premium package. Be sure to sign up so you don’t miss out on the great content.

The numbers in the parenthesis are the number of experts that picked that player to give you more context as to the gaps between players and the tiers. Here are the Industry Consensus picks for tonight…

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November 9 by

NFL – Ownership Percentage Results – Week 9

We are now over halfway through the NFL season and the ownership percentages have stabilized. For the most part, the more often a player is recommended by the DFS experts we track the higher the ownership percentage, especially in Cash leagues. At quarterback, the biggest jump occurs when a QB is recommended by at least […]

November 9 by

NFL – Expert Recap & Grades – Week 9

Another week of the NFL season has come and gone and things are starting to heat up in the DFS Industry Expert Overall Standings as DailyFantasyNerd had a down week bringing them within reach of a few other sites for top honors. Also, this week saw a few new faces on the top of the […]

November 8 by

NBA – Expert Recap & Grades – Week 2

The NBA is in full swing now and the DFS experts we grade are beginning to establish who are the top sites early on this season. The RotoGrinders Lineup Builders and RotoGrinders NBA Grind Down stay near the top of the standings but a new entrant who dispenses picks right here at DailyOverlay is off […]

November 8 by

NBA – Industry Expert Consensus – November 7

We have a solid seven-game slate of NBA action to kick off the week including a wide range of Vegas point totals. On the high end, we have the Pelicans/Warriors (221) and the Rockets/Wizards (216) as the only two games with a total higher than 206. Meanwhile, there are three games with Vega point totals […]

November 7 by

NFL – Weighted Expert Consensus – Week 9

Here are the NFL Weighted Consensus rankings for Week 9. In this series, we will publish a more in-depth version of the NFL Consensus rankings every week that takes into account each expert’s current DailyOverlay score to generate a Weighted Consensus ranking for each position.

To calculate the Weighted Rank Score, each expert’s DailyOverlay score is weighted on a sliding scale from 1 to 5 with the top expert in the current standings being weighted with a five while the last place expert is weighted with a one. If you have ever wondered how to differentiate between two players who were both selected by the same number of experts, then this is the list you need. We also list the projected Ownership Percentages for Cash and GPP leagues to help you identify some players that could be good low-owned contrarian plays. We will include all players that are selected by at least two experts.

This article is part of our premium content, so be sure to sign up to get this great compact article. Check out the Week 3 article to get a glimpse of the content.

Here is the NFL Weighted Consensus list for Week 9:

You need to be logged in to view the rest of the content. Please . Not a Member? Join Us
November 5 by

NFL Offensive Tendencies – Week 9

I had a few strong picks last week especially with my “sneaky shootout” call for the Jets/Browns game including Matt Forte. This week was a little harder to read without too many significant increased opportunities presenting themselves. It might be a week to focus on the few games with high Vegas point totals such as the Colts/Packers and Saints/49ers games. As you will see many of the Top Plays this week come from those games. I also have one gut call on a QB that is in a good spot and might go a little under-owned this week.

So let’s get right to the numbers and analysis…

Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Projected Plays Pass Pass% Pass Yards Pass TD Run Run% Rush Yards Rush TD Score
Atlanta Falcons 65 38 58.5% 302 2.2 27 41.5% 114 1.0 27.6
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 70 42 60.0% 260 2.1 28 40.0% 107 0.8 24.2

Look for the Falcons to execute a few more plays than normal this week on the road in Tampa with their typical play distribution. The passing game will fall short of their typical production with fewer passing yards and a decreased chance for more than two touchdown passes. The running game will perform in line with their typical level of production for yardage with one rushing score. The Falcons run the ball over 52% of the time inside the 10 yard line.

The Buccaneers will pass more often than usual this week. As a result, the passing game will have a slight increase in yardage and their chance for more than two touchdown passes. The running game will gain fewer yards than normal but have a slightly increased chance for a rushing score. The Buccaneers pass over 58% of the time in the red zone.

 

Increased Opportunities:

  • Jameis Winston and the Bucs passing game (Mike Evans) (+)
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November 3 by

NBA – Industry Expert Consensus – November 2

Big 10-game NBA slate Wednesday night that features a lot of close spreads with only two matchups coming in with a favorite over seven points (Hawks over Lakers and Hornets over Sixers). Meanwhile, the Vegas totals range from the high-end Rockets/Knicks (216) and Blazers/Suns (215) to the low-end Mavericks/Jazz (186) and everything in between. The […]

November 2 by

NFL – Ownership Percentage Results – Week 8

We are now about halfway through the NFL season with and the ownership percentages have stabilized. For the most part, the more often a player is recommended by the DFS experts we track the higher the ownership percentage, especially in Cash leagues. At quarterback, the biggest jump occurs when a QB is recommended by at […]

November 2 by