Entries by Brad Richter

NBA – Expert Recap & Grades – Week 1

The NBA season is underway and we have begun to monitor and grade a list of NBA DFS experts. This year we have expanded our Industry Expert site list to 17 experts including many familiar sites from last year and a few new ones. After one week the RotoGrinders’ site is leading the way with […]

NFL – Weighted Expert Consensus – Week 8

Here is the NFL Weighted Consensus rankings for Week 8. In this series, we will publish a more in-depth version of the NFL Consensus rankings every week that takes into account each expert’s current DailyOverlay score to generate a Weighted Consensus ranking for each position.

To calculate the Weighted Rank Score, each expert’s DailyOverlay score is weighted on a sliding scale from 1 to 5 with the top expert in the current standings being weighted with a five while the last place expert is weighted with a one. If you have ever wondered how to differentiate between two players who were both selected by the same number of experts, then this is the list you need. We also list the projected Ownership Percentages for Cash and GPP leagues to help you identify some players that could be good low-owned contrarian plays. We will include all players that are selected by at least two experts.

This article is part of our premium content, so be sure to sign up to get this great compact article. Check out the Week 3 article to get a glimpse of the content.

Here is the NFL Weighted Consensus list for Week 8:

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NBA – Industry Expert Consensus – October 28th

We have a solid eight-game slate on the first Friday night of the NBA season with three games that stand out with far and away the highest Vegas totals including matchups between the Warriors at Pelicans, Rockets at Mavericks and Pacers at Nets. The Consensus list features a nice mix of high-priced studs and inexpensive […]

NFL Offensive Tendencies – Week 8

Welcome to Week 8 of the Offensive Tendencies article. Hard to believe after this week the NFL season will be about half way completed. With six teams on bye this week and another game in London on Sunday morning, in addition to the usually Thursday night and Monday night games the main slate on DFS sites is down to only 10 games which will narrow your choices. Good thing there are still plenty of Increased Opportunities to choose from to help build your lineup including a “gut call” on a game with sneaky shootout potential this week.

So let’s get right to the numbers and analysis…

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Tennessee Titans

Projected Plays Pass Pass% Pass Yards Pass TD Run Run% Rush Yards Rush TD Score
Jacksonville Jaguars 62 42 67.7% 278 1.6 20 32.3% 79 0.4 19.5
Tennessee Titans 67 36 53.7% 217 1.6 31 46.3% 134 1.1 23.5

Look for the Jaguars to execute their typical play distribution this week on the road in Jacksonville. The passing game will have a very slight increase in passing yardage with their typical chance for two touchdown passes. The running game production will fall in line with their typical low level of output for yardage and limited chance for a rushing score. The Jaguars pass over 70% of the time in the red zone.

The Titans are projected to execute a few more plays than normal this week with their typical play distribution. The passing game will see a slight decrease in both yardage and their chance for two touchdown passes. The running game will produce their typical yardage but have an increased chance for at least one rushing touchdown. The Titans run the ball 51% of the time in the red zone.

 

Increased Opportunities:

  • DeMarco Murray chance for rushing TD (+)
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NFL – Ownership Percentage Results – Week 7

Week 7 is in the books and the ownership percentages have stabilized. For the most part, the more often a player is recommended by the DFS experts we track the higher the ownership percentage, especially in Cash leagues. At quarterback, the biggest jump occurs when a QB is recommended by at least nine experts. At […]

NFL – Expert Recap & Grades – Week 7

Week 7 was a high scoring fantasy week thanks to a lot of the chalk plays coming through especially at the wide receiver position. As a result, the Consensus list had the highest DailyOverlay score all season with a 3.55. For Week 7, Rotowire led the way with a strong group of selections. The Overall […]

NFL – Weighted Expert Consensus – Week 7

Here is the NFL Weighted Consensus rankings for Week 7. In this series, we will publish a more in-depth version of the NFL Consensus rankings every week that takes into account each expert’s current DailyOverlay score to generate a Weighted Consensus ranking for each position.

To calculate the Weighted Rank Score, each expert’s DailyOverlay score is weighted on a sliding scale from 1 to 5 with the top expert in the current standings being weighted with a five while the last place expert is weighted with a one. If you have ever wondered how to differentiate between two players who were both selected by the same number of experts, then this is the list you need. We also list the projected Ownership Percentages for Cash and GPP leagues to help you identify some players that could be good low-owned contrarian plays. We will include all players that are selected by at least two experts.

This article is part of our premium content, so be sure to sign up to get this great compact article. Check out the Week 3 article to get a glimpse of the content.

Here is the NFL Weighted Consensus list for Week 7:

You need to be logged in to view the rest of the content. Please . Not a Member? Join Us

NFL – Industry Expert Consensus – Week 7

Welcome to the Week 7 Industry Expert Consensus list. This should be another interesting week with three games featuring a Vegas total over 50 points and a lot of injuries opening up value options especially at running back. Be sure to keep on top of news and injury updates leading up to lineup lock as […]

NFL Offensive Tendencies – Week 7

Welcome the Week 7 Offensive Tendencies article where there are plenty of interesting games with teams and players that have increased opportunities to take advantage of. Some are obvious such as the Chiefs offense playing the Saints but there are also some that I didn’t expect to see bubble up that might be worth a look for your DFS lineups this week.

So let’s get right to the numbers and analysis…

Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers

Projected Plays Pass Pass% Pass Yards Pass TD Run Run% Rush Yards Rush TD Score
Chicago Bears 64 42 65.6% 292 1.7 22 34.4% 84 0.4 19.6
Green Bay Packers 65 40 61.5% 276 2.1 25 38.5% 101 0.4 24.7

The Bears project to pass more often than normal this week as a road underdog in Green Bay. As a result, the passing game will have a slight increase in yardage with a significantly increased opportunity for two touchdown passes. The running game will struggle with fewer yards and a low chance for a rushing score. The Bears have passed over 65% of the time in the red zone.

Look for the Packers to pass more often than usual this week with a depleted backfield. The passing game will have an increase in passing yardage with a slightly increased likelihood for two touchdown passes. The running game will fall just short of their typical yardage with their typical low chance for a rushing touchdown. The Packers pass over 56% of the time in the red zone, which may increase this week.

Increased Opportunities:

  • Brian Hoyer and the Bears passing game (Cameron Meredith/Alshon Jeffery) (++)
  • Aaron Rodgers and the Packers passing game (Jordy Nelson/Ty Montgomery) (++)
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NFL – Ownership Percentage Results – Week 6

Week 6 is in the books and the ownership percentages have stabilized. For the most part, the more often a player is recommended by the DFS experts we track the higher the ownership percentage, especially in Cash leagues. The biggest jump in ownership percentage seems to occur when a player is recommended at least 10 […]