Entries by Brad Richter

NFL – Weighted Industry Expert Consensus – Week 3

Welcome to the first NFL Weighted Consensus rankings of the season. In this series, we will publish a more in-depth version of the NFL Consensus rankings every week that takes into account each expert’s current DailyOverlay score to generate a Weighted Consensus ranking for each position.

To calculate the Weighted Rank Score, each expert’s DailyOverlay score is weighted on a sliding scale from 1 to 5 with the top expert in the current standings being weighted with a five while the last place expert is weighted with a one. If you have ever wondered how to differentiate between two players who were both selected by the same number of experts, then this is the list for you. We also list the projected Ownership Percentages for Cash and GPP leagues to help you identify some players that could be good low-owned contrarian plays. We will include all players that are selected by at least two experts.

This article is part of our premium content, so be sure to sign up to get this great compact view of the top plays for the week. This week I have exposed the QB section so that everyone can get a glimpse of the content and format.

Here is the NFL Weighted Consensus list for Week 3:

QB

Name  Team Price Cash % GPP % Rank Score
Marcus Mariota  Ten $5,900 10% 8% 27.34
Ryan Tannehill  Mia $6,200 9% 8% 22.30
Andrew Luck  Ind $7,600 8% 8% 18.42
Philip Rivers  SD $6,700 7% 8% 16.61
Kirk Cousins  Was $6,400 5% 5% 11.14
Cam Newton  Car $7,800 5% 5% 10.61
Joe Flacco  Bal $6,100 5% 5% 10.41
Aaron Rodgers  GB $7,700 4% 4% 9.03
Carson Palmer  Ari $7,200 4% 4% 8.97
Dak Prescott  Dal $5,700 3% 3% 6.19
Blake Bortles  Jax $6,500 3% 3% 4.72
Alex Smith  KC $5,800 3% 3% 4.28
You need to be logged in to view the rest of the content. Please . Not a Member? Join Us
September 23 /6 Comments/by

NFL Offensive Tendencies – Week 3

Injuries, injuries, injuries. That was one of the big storylines from Week 2 of the NFL season with numerous players exiting early due to some kind of ailment. While the injury bug took its toll on my Top Plays from last week it did the same to many other experts also leaving me with another solid week and an 8th place ranking in the Overall Standings.

Week 3 features a lot of interesting matchup of pretty evenly matched teams. Even some of the team favored by a touchdown or more don’t seem like locks. I have a feeling we will see a lot of close games this week. As always, I have done the analysis of each team’s play tendencies and matchup to find some players that should have increased opportunities this week to exceed their typical level of production.

So let’s get right to the numbers and analysis for Week 3!

Houston Texans @ New England Patriots

Projected Plays Pass Pass% Pass Yards Pass TD Run Run% Rush Yards Rush TD Score
Houston Texans 67 37 55.2% 241 1.6 30 44.8% 119 0.6 20.2
New England Patriots 65 35 53.8% 210 1.4 30 41.5% 112 0.9 21.0

The Texans might run fewer plays this week as the Patriots try to take the air out of the ball with a rookie QB under center. The decrease in total plays will limit the passing game with a slight decrease in passing yardage and their opportunity for two touchdown passes. The running game, however, will be slightly more productive with a slight increase in rushing yards and a significantly increased opportunity for a rushing score. The Texans have passed over 63% of the time in the red zone this season.

Look for the Patriots to lean on their running game a little more this week with rookie QB Jacoby Brissett under center. As a result, the ground attack will see a slight increase in rushing yards with their typical opportunity for a rushing touchdown. The passing game will have a significant decrease in both passing yardage and their opportunity for any more than one touchdown pass. The Patriots have run the ball 60% of the time in the red zone this season.

Increased Opportunities:

  • Lamar Miller (+)
You need to be logged in to view the rest of the content. Please . Not a Member? Join Us
September 22 by

NFL – Expert Recap & Grades – Week 2

The NFL season is rolling along now with two weeks in the books. We have added season-to-date standing into the mix now along with the first cut of ownership percentages. We have also added a few new sites to our list of experts this week including a couple lineup optimizers from DailyFantasyNerd and RotoGrinders. If […]

September 20 /1 Comment/by

NFL – Expert Recap & Grades – Week 1

We are back for our second season of NFL DFS expert grading. DailyOverlay is here to hand out the grades for this year’s crop of experts and hold them to a high standard so that we can see who is making the grades and who will need to work harder to improve. DailyOverlay is a […]

September 13 by

NFL Offensive Tendencies – Week 1

I am back for my second season writing the “Offensive Tendencies” article here at DailyOverlay. Once again this year I will be writing a weekly preview article analyzing each NFL matchup to try to give you some predictive data on game flow, play calling tendencies and tips to help find where there are increased opportunities […]

September 8 by

MLB – On the Hill – September 2

Welcome to the final edition of the “On the Hill” column for the 2016 MLB season. It has been a fun year with many good days (and a few bad ones) and I am glad to be ranked with a solid 8th place showing in our pitcher rankings out of 16 experts this season. I […]

September 2 /1 Comment/by

MLB – Industry Expert Consensus – August 31st

Our MLB coverage including this Industry Expert Consensus article are nearing the end. We will have our final baseball articles for the season this Friday as we turn our attention the start of the NFL season. Today’s split slate brings us only nine games on the night slate with only one high-priced ace pitcher taking […]

August 31 by

MLB – On the Hill – August 31

The Wednesday split slate features most of the ace pitchers throwing in the afternoon games which makes for an interesting slate of games for Wednesday night with nine matchups that include only one high-priced ace pitcher, Corey Kluber. Yet, even with only one ace option, there are a few very solid value options that might […]

August 31 by