Entries by Brad Richter

NBA – Expert Recap & Grades – Week 11

Some of the top experts this past week included FantasyTeamAdvice, FantasyAlarm and CBS Sportsline, who all finished in the top 2 multiple times. The Overall Standings are the same in the top four spots but had the RotoGrinders Consensus move back into fifth place. Meanwhile, it was a good week for the DailyOverlay Industry Consensus […]

NBA – Weighted Consensus – January 6

Welcome to the Weighted Consensus for the NBA where we publish a more in-depth version of the NBA Consensus rankings every day that takes into account each expert’s current DailyOverlay score to generate a Weighted Consensus ranking.

To calculate the Weighted Rank Score, each expert’s DailyOverlay score is weighted on a sliding scale from 1 to 5 with the top expert in the current standings being weighted with a five while the last place expert is weighted with a one. If you have ever wondered how to differentiate between two players who were both selected by the same number of experts, then this is the list you need. We also list the projected Ownership Percentages for Cash and GPP leagues to help you identify some players that could be good low-owned contrarian plays. We will include all players that are selected by at least two.

Be sure to sign up for our Premium Content to find out which high-priced Stud and Value options sits atop the expert’s list for Friday.

Here is the NBA Weighted Consensus list for January 6:

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NFL Offensive Tendencies – Wild Card Weekend

Time for the Playoff Edition of the Offensive Tendencies article. With only four games in the Wild Card round, the gaps to find increased opportunities is very limited. So, I will once again be utilizing the “Hot Sheet” style that I used in Week 17, including some analysis of each game.

Also, when it comes to a small slate of games you need something to differentiate your lineup from the masses, especially in a GPP. So I have also added a “Gut Call” for each team this week. You will notice that most of these are centered on touchdowns, as I also feel that who scores the touchdowns has increased importance in a small slate of games.

The charts below show the rating for each position per team based on each team’s own offensive performance and their opponent’s defensive performance for a variety of factors over the season and last five weeks:

  • Vegas line and total
  • Team pace (plays)
  • Overall play distribution
  • Red Zone and Inside 10 play distribution
  • Yards per attempt (passing, receiving, rushing)
  • TD per attempt (passing, receiving, rushing)
  • DVOA ratings from FootballOutsiders
  • Sacks, turnovers and defensive touchdowns

All of these stats and rankings are compiled, weighted and averaged to come up with a single “rating” for each team by position for this week. Numbers in red are “hot” indicating a good matchup and potential “increased opportunity” for this week.

As always, I will give my Top Plays for the week at the bottom of the article. So let’s get right to the numbers and analysis…

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NFL Value Index – Wild Card Weekend

We are entering one of the two best weeks of the NFL season – the first round of the playoffs, or Wild Card Weekend. This week and the next we get two games each on Saturdays and Sundays, and there will be a couple of games in the next two weeks that will be riveting […]

NBA – Industry Expert Consensus – January 4th

Wednesday night features a seven-game slate of NBA action. Vegas is expecting a lot of close games with five games coming in with a spread of five or less. Meanwhile, only the Blazers/Warriors game has a Vegas total higher than 212. The experts seem to be zeroed in on who to play tonight with three players recommended by at least 11 experts.

The numbers in the parenthesis are the number of experts that picked that player to give you more context as to the gaps between players and the tiers. Also listed projected ownership percentages for Cash and GPP leagues to help determine which players will be the chalk and which players could be a good low owned contrarian play.

Be sure to sign up for our Premium Content to get the NBA Consensus picks for Wednesday along with other great content here at DailyOverlay.

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NBA – Weighted Consensus – January 4

Welcome to the Weighted Consensus for the NBA where we publish a more in-depth version of the NBA Consensus rankings every day that takes into account each expert’s current DailyOverlay score to generate a Weighted Consensus ranking.

To calculate the Weighted Rank Score, each expert’s DailyOverlay score is weighted on a sliding scale from 1 to 5 with the top expert in the current standings being weighted with a five while the last place expert is weighted with a one. If you have ever wondered how to differentiate between two players who were both selected by the same number of experts, then this is the list you need. We also list the projected Ownership Percentages for Cash and GPP leagues to help you identify some players that could be good low-owned contrarian plays. We will include all players that are selected by at least two.

Be sure to sign up for our Premium Content to find out which high-priced Stud and Value options sits atop the experts list for Wednesday.

Here is the NBA Weighted Consensus list for January 4:

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NFL – Expert Recap & Grades – Final (Week 17)

The NFL regular season is in the books. All of the NFL DFS experts have submitted their final exam (Week 17) and the grades have been tabulated and the winner of the 2016 NFL DFS season is… DailyFantasyNerd! DailyFantasyNerd rode a third place finish in Week 17 to jump from second place in the overall […]

NBA – Expert Recap & Grades – Week 10

We have two weeks’ worth of NBA DFS grading data updated following a week off for the holidays. I will not go into detail for the week before Christmas but the top experts during the week were RotoGrinders NBA Grind Down, FantasyTeamAdvice, FantasyLabs and Rotowire. The data from the week after Christmas is below and […]

NBA – Weighted Consensus – January 3

Welcome to the Weighted Consensus for the NBA where we publish a more in-depth version of the NBA Consensus rankings every day that takes into account each expert’s current DailyOverlay score to generate a Weighted Consensus ranking.

To calculate the Weighted Rank Score, each expert’s DailyOverlay score is weighted on a sliding scale from 1 to 5 with the top expert in the current standings being weighted with a five while the last place expert is weighted with a one. If you have ever wondered how to differentiate between two players who were both selected by the same number of experts, then this is the list you need. We also list the projected Ownership Percentages for Cash and GPP leagues to help you identify some players that could be good low-owned contrarian plays. We will include all players that are selected by at least two.

Be sure to sign up for our Premium Content to find out which high-priced Stud and Value options sits atop the expert’s list for Tuesday.

Here is the NBA Weighted Consensus list for January 3:

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NBA – Weighted Consensus – January 2

Welcome to the Weighted Consensus for the NBA where we publish a more in-depth version of the NBA Consensus rankings every day that takes into account each expert’s current DailyOverlay score to generate a Weighted Consensus ranking.

To calculate the Weighted Rank Score, each expert’s DailyOverlay score is weighted on a sliding scale from 1 to 5 with the top expert in the current standings being weighted with a five while the last place expert is weighted with a one. If you have ever wondered how to differentiate between two players who were both selected by the same number of experts, then this is the list you need. We also list the projected Ownership Percentages for Cash and GPP leagues to help you identify some players that could be good low-owned contrarian plays. We will include all players that are selected by at least two.

Be sure to sign up for our Premium Content to find out which high-priced Stud and Value options sits atop the experts list for Friday.

Here is the NBA Weighted Consensus list for January 2:

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NBA – Industry Expert Consensus – January 2

Happy New Year everyone! The first Monday of 2017 features an eight-game slate of NBA action. It could be a high-scoring night in the NBA with all eight games featuring a Vegas total of 202 including two games (Wizards/Rockets and Nuggets/Warriors) with a game total around 230 points. Yet it is the Utah Jazz players […]

NFL Expert Consensus Podcast – Week 17

Well, this is the end of the road, as Boyz II Men would say….the last week of the NFL regular season. Thank you to all who have listened each week and to Brad and Matt for contributing when able. I’ve enjoyed doing the podcast and hopefully you did too. I hope we can provide more […]