This week there is no NFL game on Thursday night, but we have another double-dip on Saturday. So, I decided to spit out a FREE Saturday only version of the NFL Hot Sheet. The pair of games might not be packed full of offensive production, but the production could be offensive if you know what […]
We are coming down the home stretch with 15 weeks of the NFL season completed and we have a new overall leader with DailyFantasyNerd taking over the top spot ahead of FantasyTeamAdvice who has held the lead for most of the year. It will be interesting to see who prevails with just two weeks to […]
Wow! The Wednesday 12-game slate on the NBA hardwood is loaded with strong plays at the top and in the middle. Unfortunately, finding value is a little hard to come by as of Wednesday morning. Hopefully, that will change as news breaks leading up to tipoff tonight, as I want to get exposure to as many of the high-priced studs as possible.
The grid below is a snapshot of today’s slate that shows the overall rating for each position for each team. The numbers highlighted in red are in the top 25% of their position for the slate and indicate good plays. Meanwhile, the numbers highlighted in blue are the positions that are in the bottom 25% of their respective position for the slate and are positions to avoid.
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Week 15 was a struggle for the NFL handicappers who finished with a losing record for the week as a whole. As such, our Consensus picks also fell victim this week with a disappointing 1-3-1 record, although the free over/under bet on the Packers/Bears game did win. The ActionNetwork led the way this week with […]
The NBA slate on Tuesday night is just four games but it might as well be only a two-game set. There are two games with a Vegas totals over 225 points and two games with totals under 210 points. Take a wild guess where most of your exposure should be on Tuesday. Since it is […]
Piecing together a DFS lineup for Monday’s eight-game slate in the Association is proving to be difficult, at least early in the day. There is not a lot of definitive injury news yet, which limits our cheap value options on the slate, thus also making it difficult to recommend paying up for many high-priced studs. So, it could be a balanced lineup night depending on the news that crosses the wire as we head towards tipoff.
The grid below is a snapshot of today’s slate that shows the overall rating for each position for each team. The numbers highlighted in red are in the top 25% of their position for the slate and indicate good plays. Meanwhile, the numbers highlighted in blue are the positions that are in the bottom 25% of their respective position for the slate and are positions to avoid.
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The Week 15 NFL main slate consists of 11 games due to a pair of tilts on Saturday along with the usual trio of primetime matchups. Ownership could be fairly spread out on the slate this week so if you find some options that you like from the list of recommended plays by the experts then lock them in.
In this series, we will publish a consensus of NFL DFS expert’s recommendations that take into account each expert’s current DailyOverlay score to generate a Weighted Consensus ranking for each position. To calculate the Weighted Rank Score, each expert’s DailyOverlay score is weighted on a sliding scale from 1 to 5 with the top expert in the current standings being weighted with a five while the last place expert is weighted with a one. If you have ever wondered how to differentiate between two players who were both selected by the same number of experts, then this is the list you need. We also list the projected Ownership Percentages for Cash and GPP leagues to help you identify some players that could be good low-owned contrarian plays. We will include all players that have a Rank Score of at least 10.
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Here is the NFL Weighted Consensus list for Week 15…
Welcome to the Week 15 NFL Consensus Bets! The Consensus picks rolled to a 5-2 record last week and are on the plus side for the season against the spread. We have five selections that were recommended by the group of handicappers we track for this week.
In this series, we will publish a consensus of Handicapper Picks against the spread and totals where we pay for the premium picks and take the time and effort to accumulate them, so you don’t have to. This week we pulled picks from 14 expert sites and 43 different handicappers to get our consensus betting selections. Picks make the Consensus list if they receive at least three more selection on one side than the other side. We will also be grading handicappers throughout the season.
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Here is the NFL Handicapper Consensus list for Week 15…
Friday serves up a nine-game slate of NBA action. The Weighted Consensus list for tonight gives a plenty of value options including the top two most recommended options on the list. We have just four games with a Vegas total over 220 points on the slate, so getting some strong value options will certainly help boost those DFS scores.
The Weighted Consensus for the NBA uses each expert’s current DailyOverlay score to generate a Weighted Consensus ranking. To calculate the Weighted Rank Score, each expert’s DailyOverlay score for players is weighted on a sliding scale from 1 to 5 with the top expert in the current standings being weighted with a five while the last place expert is weighted with a one. This method gives the higher rated experts picks more weight when compiling the overall player rankings for the day. We will include all players that generate a Rank Score of at least 10.0.
As a reminder, most of our NBA content will be part of our premium membership. Now is a great time to sign up for our premium content so you are all set for the NBA season.
Here is the NBA Weighted Consensus list for December 14:
Friday night brings a solid nine-game NBA slate to start off the weekend. While there are some decent value options on the slate, I’m finding my lineup construction to focus a lot on the mid to high-range of salaries instead of a true “Studs & Duds” type of build. So, get your value then forgo the high-priced options for the next level of priced players to fill out your lineups.
The grid below is a snapshot of today’s slate that shows the overall rating for each position for each team. The numbers highlighted in red are in the top 25% of their position for the slate and indicate good plays. Meanwhile, the numbers highlighted in blue are the positions that are in the bottom 25% of their respective position for the slate and are positions to avoid.
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Last week didn’t go well for my DFS picks or Best Bets but everyone is allowed to have bad week once and a while, right?!? Of course, the great thing about DFS is one bad week can be quickly forgotten as we move on to the next slate of games to analyze and play. Week 15 of the NFL season is upon us which is the beginning of a couple Saturday games sneaking their way into the mix. See my game-by-game analysis, Hot Picks and Top Plays for the week no matter which slates you play.
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Note: DVOA referenced in this article stands for Defense-adjusted Value Over Average which is a metric from FootballOutsiders.com.
So, let’s get right to the numbers and analysis…
| Team | QB | RB | WR1 | WR2 | WR3 | TE | D | Vegas |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 63 | 70 | 42 | 34 | 73 | 67 | 45 | 53.5 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 54 | 56 | 78 | 50 | 58 | 52 | 55 | -3.5 |
Chargers
Injuries Notes
Running Game (4th): Justin Jackson will likely see a bulk of the workload unless Melvin Gordon can somehow suit up. Whoever totes the rock is set up for a good game against the Chiefs 32nd DVOA ranked run defense that has allowed 5.12 YPC (32nd) to RBs this season.
Passing Game (3rd): Philip Rivers may need to pass often to keep up with the Chiefs high-flying offense on Thursday night. He gets a slightly better than league average matchup as the Chiefs rank 15th DVOA against the pass while allowing 263 yards (22nd) and 2.5 TD passes (29th) per game over the last five weeks.
Top Targets: The best individual matchups for the Chargers receiving options are for Keenan Allen and Tyrell Williams. While TE Antonio Gates could make an impact in the red zone.
TD Predictions:
Chiefs
Injuries Notes
Running Game (20th): The Chiefs backfield has gotten ugly in a hurry with the Kareem Hunt situation and now Spencer Ware unlikely to play. Damien Williams and Charcandrick West will try to fill the role against a solid rush defense that ranks 16th DVOA while allowing just 4.00 YPC (10th) to RBs over the last five weeks. Although they have given up 1.2 TDs (29th) on the ground over the last five weeks.
Passing Game (12th): Patrick Mahomes will take on his second straight tough test against the Chargers pass defense that ranks 9th DVOA and has given up just 201 passing yards (4th) and 0.8 TD passes (2nd) over the last five weeks.
Top Targets: Look for Williams and West to be busy coming out of the backfield as the Chargers rank 19th DVOA against pass-catching backs. The WRs and Travis Kelce could have their hands full on the outside and down the middle against a good pass defense.
TD Predictions:
Hot Picks:
It was another solid week for our Industry Consensus picks which keep climbing up the overall standings in 8th place out of 24 experts graded this season. The Week 14 winner was DailyFantasyNerd, followed by RotoGrinders – Lineup Builder as it was another good week for the machines. However, for the season, FantasyTeamAdvice still leads […]