A very strong night for my pitcher recommendations on Tuesday with three “A” grades. I’ll look to duplicate those results today focusing on the 10-game night slate. The slate tonight has seven pitchers that I am comfortable with rostering. Those not highlighted below but still worth consideration are Yu Darvish, Carlos Carrasco and Tyler Skaggs.
Ace
Jon Lester (FD-$10,800 / DK-$11,200)
I am going to give Lester a slight edge over Darvish tonight. The Cubs played a doubleheader yesterday using six different relievers so I think Lester will go deep into the game tonight as a big home favorite. The Brewers struggled at the plate yesterday scoring only one run through two games and will likely be without their best hitter, Ryan Braun, who was injured in the second game. Not to mention that Lester has pitched better at home this season (2.07 ERA) and the Brewers strike out 24.3% (3rd highest) against lefties. Lester is a strong Cash game and GPP option.
Value
David Price (FD-$10,100 / DK-$8,600)
Price has had his ups-and-downs this season but has a good chance for success Wednesday against an Orioles’ team that ranks in the bottom four in wOBA and wRC+ against lefties this season while striking out 21.9% of the time. I prefer Darvish over Price on FanDuel at a similar price, but on DraftKings Price is a solid Cash game and GPP play at a reduced price.
Scott Kazmir (FD-$9,000 / DK-$7,600)
Kazmir draws a favorable matchup tonight against the Phillies. The Phillies continue to struggle against left-handed pitchers with a 23.0% strikeout rate (7th highest) and a league-worst wOBA (.283) and wRC+ (72). He should get plenty of run support after the Dodgers put up 15 runs yesterday and face a rookie making just his third big league start. Kazmir is a viable Cash and GPP option.
Darkhorse
Homer Bailey (FD-$7,700 / DK-$8,900)
You never know what you are going to get from Bailey. It could be a six shutout innings with 11 strikeouts in his last start or three innings with five runs like two starts ago. Due to his potential upside and projected low ownership facing a Marlins team without Giancarlo Stanton, Baily could be worth a GPP flier tonight, especially on FanDuel where he has a lower price tag.
On the Hill – Results
Tuesday
| Type | Pitcher | DK $ | DK Pts | Grade |
| Ace | Noah Syndergaard | 11000 | 23.35 | A |
| Value | Kenta Maeda | 9500 | 29.10 | A+ |
| Value | Blake Snell | 8700 | 23.85 | A+ |
| Dark | Michael Pineda | 7900 | 12.85 | C |
Season
| Type | A+ | A | B | C | D | F | Tot | DK Cost | DK Pts | DO Score |
| Ace | 34 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 69 | $11,897 | 23.51 | 6.03 |
| Value | 29 | 17 | 16 | 33 | 9 | 37 | 141 | $8,723 | 16.20 | 3.53 |
| Dark | 23 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 73 | $6,652 | 16.02 | 4.48 |
- DK Cost is the average DraftKings cost per pitcher selected
- DK Pts is the average DraftKings points scored per pitcher selected
- DO Score is the Daily Overlay score for each type
Come back to DailyOverlay later today for the MLB Consensus list and some sample MLB lineups.
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