Just a short write-up for Thursday’s small six-game MLB slate. With the small slate and short write-up, we’ll make this a freebie. Also, be sure to check out our first College Football Consensus Rankings before tonight’s games.
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Let’s mow down the competition 3 Up and 3 Down…
3 Up
Ace
Lance Lynn (FD-$9,300 / DK-$10,000)
- It is all about the strikeouts with Lynn who has a 25.8% strikeout rate in 66 career plate appearances by Mariners hitters
- The Mariners have a 28.1% strikeout rate (2nd) against right-handed pitchers over the last 30 days
- Lynn has at least six strikeouts eight of his last nine starts
- The Rangers are a sizeable home favorite
Value
Alex Wood (FD-$7,500 / DK-$7,900)
- Wood gets a favorable match and park adjustment pitching against the Marlins in Miami
- The Marlins have a league-high strikeout rate (28.9%) versus lefties over the last 30 days
- The Marlins have a .319 wOBA (25th) and 100 wRC+ (21st) versus southpaws over the last 30 days
- There is a strikeout-friendly umpire behind the plate in Miami on Thursday
Darkhorse
Dereck Rodriguez (FD-$6,800 / DK-$4,600)
- Rodriguez is cheap as he pitches at home against the Padres
- Rodriguez has pitched better at home over his career (3.53 ERA and .294 wOBA allowed)
- The Padres have the highest strikeout rate (28.8%) versus righties over the last 30 days
- The Padres rank 29th in wOBA (.279) and 28th in wRC+ (70) against right-handers over the last 30 days
3 Down
Top Stack
Dodgers vs. Merrill Kelly
Cody Bellinger (FD-$4,600 / DK-$5,600)
Joc Pederson (FD-$3,300 / DK-$4,400)
Corey Seager (FD-$3,200 / DK-$4,500)
Justin Turner (FD-$3,500 / DK-$4,800)
- Kelly has surrendered six or more runs in four of his last six starts
- Lefties have a .343 wOBA versus Kelly this year
- Righties have a 1.90 HR/9 rate off Kelly this season
Contrarian Stack
Cubs vs. Jacob deGrom
Kris Bryant (FD-$3,700 / DK-$4,000)
Jason Heyward (FD-$2,700 / DK-$3,400)
Nick Castellanos (FD-$3,400 / DK-$3,900)
Kyle Schwarber (FD-$3,000 / DK-$3,700)
- You have to consider getting crazy in GPPs sometimes on a small slate
- Some Cubs have had success against DeGrom including Bryant, Heyward, and Rizzo (if he plays)
One-Off Plays
Daniel Murphy (FD-$3,300 / DK-$4,500)
Josh VanMeter (FD-$3,000 / DK-$4,200)
Manny Machado (FD-$3,500 / DK-$4,100)
Amed Rosario (FD-$2,800 / DK-$4,000)
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