First things first, I am a moron.
I recommended Matt Adams Wednesday as a National, apparently completely oblivious to his move to St. Louis.
Whoops.
But on the plus side, DFS COLLEGE FOOTBALL IS BACK!!!!!
AND Texans, like me, can now play paid contests on FanDuel.
I don’t know what the hell is going on, but it feels like 2015-16 all over again.
And now I probably won’t get anything done at my real job the next few weeks.
Oh boy.
But hey, I guess there is baseball to talk about tonight, right?
There are 14 games, including Coors, with lots of solid pitching options to use. And as for tonight’s stacks, I don’t there is any surprise that my bats are pit against 3 of the 4 lowest-priced pitchers on the slate. Sorry, you will have to subscribe to reveal all! :).
Time to rock ‘n roll!
LOS ANGELES DODGERS
- Manny Machado
- Justin Turner
- Matt Kemp
- Kike Hernandez
Analysis: I always love it when slates make it easy. This one is easy. The Dodgers are a team with tons of power and run-scoring upside and they get to take on Clayton Richard, a poor man’s….well, there is no comparison. I don’t like him as a pitcher even though he’s not the worst one on this slate. He’s got a .333 wOBA against righties this season, allowing 42% hard contact and 1.10 HR/9. He’s also got massive home (3.94 ERA) road (6.28 ERA) splits. He gave up 4 earned in his only start against LAD this season, but that was before the acquisition of Brian Dozier and Manny Machado. Speaking of Machado, he’s a lefty killer if you don’t already know. He sports a .382 wOBA and.215 ISO against lefties this season. But it’s Turner who has destroyed southpaws, sporting a .445 wOBA and .216 ISO with a 45% hard hit rate. Kemp has taken Richard to the woodshed in his career, going 15-for-38 with 5 doubles and 3 home runs. He also sports a .356 wOBA and .252 ISO against lefties in 2018. Kike hasn’t been the stud platoon guy against lefties that he normally is this season, but I still have love for him. His ISO is the only thing worth considering as it sits at .176, which is decent power. Dozier doesn’t make this list because he’s been putrid against lefties this season, so I’ll avoid the chalk there.
PITTSBURGH PIRATES
- Starling Marte
- David Freese
Analysis: Derek Holland has become this year’s Wade Miley for me this year. While I am not talking about Holland pitching on this slate, I am talking about Miley, who has been very unlucky against righties all season, evidenced by his .200 BA, .233 BABIP and 4.16 xFIP. Luckily, we have a couple of swashbucklers that have hit Miley very well in their careers and I will ride the BvP for them tonight instead of hoping for Miley’s regression to kick in. Against Miley, Marte is 8-for-18 with a double, a walk and a steal while Freese is 6-for-15 with a home run and 4 walks. The park upgrade at Miller also checks the boxes for this duo tonight.
