Holy geeze, have a game Steve Pearce!
Yesterday was a crazy-high scoring day in DFS. Red Sox, Yankees, Rangers and Dodgers put lots of runs on the board.
Today we start over and have to tackle a 14-game slate. The Red Sox and Yankees are going to put up runs, the Nationals, Rangers and Orioles are all running hot.
Andrew Benintendi, Nick Castellanos, Paul Goldschmidt, Rhys Hoskins, and Nelson Cruz are my favorite one-offs for today. And here are the stacks…
WASHINGTON NATIONALS
1. Bryce Harper
2. Daniel Murphy
3. Juan Soto
4. Matt Adams
Analysis: The Nationals are 6th in wOBA against RH pitching this season. They are finally healthy with Ryan Zimmerman returning to the lineup. With these four recommendations, Trea Turne and Anthony Rendon, this lineup is a gauntlet. Harper is finally stroking the ball, and perhaps he’s been able to move on from the trade rumors. He owns a .352 wOBA and .272 ISO against RH pitching this season to go along with a 42% hard contact rate. Murphy is finally starting to swing the stick like his old self, building up to a .347 wOBA and .172 ISO against righties. He’s also 4-for-8 with a HR and 5 RBI against Reds’ starter Anthony DeSclafani, who has allowed a .410 wOBA, 48% hard contact rate, 3.86 HR/9 and 5.01 xFIP against lefties. Adams is the lead bat against righties on the Nationals, sporting a .401 wOBA, .289 ISO and 38% hard contact rate. Soto, the young, blazing rookie, has a .389 wOBA, .232 ISO and 35% hard contact rate.
TAMPA BAY RAYS
1. Jake Bauers
2. Kevin Kiermaier
3. Tommy Pham
4. Ji-Man Choi
5. C.J. Cron
Analysis: Through trades, the Rays have built quite the young nucleus moving forward though I think they should call up Austin Meadows, but that’s neither here nor there. This stack is all about the opposing starting pitcher – Lucas Giolito. Here’s his numbers against lefties – .384 wOBA, 1.48 HR/9, 1.76 WHIP and a 7.00 xFIP. Against righties – .329 wOBA, 1.53 HR/9, and a 5.33 xFIP.
TEXAS RANGERS
1. Shin-Soo Choo
2. Rougned Odor
3. Joey Gallo
4. Jurickson Profar
Analysis: The Rangers went nutso on Andrew Cashner last night and now they get an even worse pitcher, David Hess. It’s going to be raining heat in Texas once again. Hess is third on the list of probable starters in wOBA allowed to lefties at .373, with a 2.19 HR/9 and 5.68 xFIP. He’s not much better against right-handed batters either, allowing a .352 wOBA, 1.78 HR/9 and a 6.39 xFIP. The Rangers are all systems go against tonight starting with Choo’s .403 wOBA against righties, Odor’s recent hot streak with a .335 wOBA and .202 ISO. Gallo is boom or bust, but is facing a low-strikeout pitcher. His .247 ISO and 47% hard hit rate means he needs to just make good contact and the ball will fly. Profar is the budding up-and-comer with a .180 ISO and 33% hard contact rate. And he gets a bump should he see a lefty out of the pen since he can switch and hit from the right side where the majority of his power resonates.
MILWAUKEE BREWERS
1. Travis Shaw
2. Mike Moustakas
3. Eric Thames
4. Christian Yelich
Analysis: It’s lefties or bust for the Brewers tonight as they welcome in Colorado and German Marquez, who sports a .350 wOBA allowed, a 1.68 HR/9 and 1.61 WHIP. With the addition of Mike Moustakas, this team is a strong lefty-powered powerhouse. Outside of Moustakas, these Brewers have wOBAs of .370 or better, and ISOs over .200. The Moose owns an ISO of .287 against righties. Miller Park is a big boost for lefty power.
CLEVELAND INDIANS
1. Edwin Encarnacion
2. Jose Ramirez
3. Francisco Lindor
4. Michael Brantley
Analysis: The Indians are probably going to be a low-owned stack again tonight. No one plays them on big slates and it baffles me. I mean, I used to be in that camp, but I had to turn that bias around. Tonight they get Jaime Barria, a reverse-splits pitcher who has regression coming against lefties. Normally I am all about the main three lefties and Yonder Alonso, but today I still like the Big 3, but E5 makes the cut due to his reverse-splits tendencies. Barria owns an unsustainable .229 BABIP against lefties, but is allowed 35% hard contact and has a 3.88 xFIP. Against righties, Barria owns a .397 wOBA, 40% hard contact rate and a 2.63 HR/9 rate.
